Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 17

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Location: The Croud Meadow (Shrewsbury)

Referee: Gill S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Shrewsbury Town		Birmingham City

	1	X	2
	8	4.75	1.38	Watch
	8	4.6	1.38
	8	4.75	1.38	Watch
	8.36	4.93	1.38
	8.03	4.57	1.39	Watch
	9	4.75	1.36
	8.3	4.85	1.38	Watch
	8	4.75	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.21 ↓ (8.5)	4.74 ↓ (4.94)	1.38 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shrewsbury Town
11.5%

Draw
19.9%

Birmingham City
68.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.1%

19.1%

69.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.6%

18.2%

73.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shrewsbury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Shrewsbury Town - Birmingham City Predictions

Users Predictions: Birmingham City will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Savin T. (G) 2. Hoole L. 22. Nsiala A. 16. Pierre A. 3. Benning M. 7. Winchester C. (C) 14. Perry T. 18. Bloxham T. 19. Castledine L. 17. Gilliead A. 27. Marquis J.	21. Allsop R. (G) 2. Laird E. 4. Klarer C. 6. Bielik K. (C) 20. Cochrane A. 13. Paik Seung-Ho 24. Iwata T. 18. Willumsson W. T. 26. Harris L. 14. Anderson K. 28. Stansfield J.
Substitutes
9. Lloyd G. 23. Nurse G. 29. O'Reilly T. 4. Rossiter J. 11. Sagoe Jr C. 26. Shipley J. 13. Young J. (G)	25. Davies B. 17. Dykes L. 19. Gardner-Hickman T. 12. Leonard M. 9. May A. 45. Peacock-Farrell B. (G) 33. Yokoyama A.
Coaches
Ainsworth G.	Davies C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
20', Marquis J. 🟨,
30', Anderson K. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Pierre A. ⚽, Bloxham T. (A),
34', Anderson K. ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
38', 2 - 0, Marquis J. ⚽,
44', 2 - 1, Iwata T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 3 - 1, Bloxham T. ⚽,
56', Laird E. ↓, May A. ↑,
62', Harris L. ↓, Leonard M. ↑,
71', Perry T. ↓, Rossiter J. ↑,
76', 3 - 2, Stansfield J. (Pen),
80', 🟨,
80', Winchester C. ↓, Shipley J. ↑,
89', Bielik K. ↓, Yokoyama A. ↑,
90', Bloxham T. ↓, Lloyd G. ↑,
90', Nsiala A. ↓, Nurse G. ↑,
90+7', Castledine L. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

Shrewsbury has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Birmingham is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Birmingham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Shrewsbury have a series of guest games.

In this match Birmingham is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Birmingham to win the game is with odds 1.38.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Shrewsbury won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:10 (average 1.3:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Shrewsbury won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:10 (average 1.3:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shrewsbury Town
English EFL Trophy
12.11.24	Walsall - Shrewsbury Town	3:0 ✺
English League One
09.11.24	Burton Albion - Shrewsbury Town	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Salford City - Shrewsbury Town	2:1 ✺
English League One
26.10.24	Shrewsbury Town - Barnsley	0:2 ✺
22.10.24	Bristol Rovers - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Birmingham City
English League One
09.11.24	Birmingham City - Northampton Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
03.11.24	Sutton United - Birmingham City	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
29.10.24	Birmingham City - Fulham U21	7:1 ✺
English League One
26.10.24	Mansfield Town - Birmingham City	1:1 ✺
22.10.24	Birmingham City - Bolton Wanderers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
08.10.24	Shrewsbury Town - Birmingham City	0:4
Club Friendly
20.07.24	Shrewsbury Town - Birmingham City	0:2
23.07.13	Shrewsbury Town - Birmingham City	4:2
24.07.12	Shrewsbury Town - Birmingham City	1:2

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