Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 26

Date: 11 March 2025, Tuesday

Location: Select Car Leasing Stadium (Reading)

Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Reading		Wrexham

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	2.15	Watch
	3.3	3.4	2.1
	3.5	3.25	2.15	Watch
	3.59	3.31	2.17
	3.44	3.22	2.16	Watch
	3.4	3.2	2.2
	3.46	3.32	2.16	Watch
	3.5	3.25	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↓ (3.79)	3.27 ↓ (3.97)	2.16 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reading
27.4%

Draw
28.9%

Wrexham
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

23.9%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

25.4%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reading has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wrexham might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wrexham could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	7.7%	15.4%

Reading - Wrexham Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Wrexham will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reading: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pereira J. (G) 2. Abrefa K. 38. Stickland M. 24. Bindon T. 30. Garcia A. 7. Knibbs H. 29. Wing L. (C) 8. Savage C. 20. Campbell C. 9. Ehibhatiomhan K. 19. Wareham J.	1. Okonkwo A. (G) 4. Cleworth M. 5. O'Connell E. 6. O'Connor T. 29. Barnett R. 20. Rathbone O. 37. James M. 7. McClean J. (C) 23. Revan S. 16. Rodriguez J. 28. Smith S.
Substitutes
37. Akande A. 1. Button D. (G) 28. Camara M. 11. Carroll T. 6. Dean H. 14. Rushesha T. 17. Yiadom A.	12. Evans G. 22. Faal M. 26. Fletcher S. 21. Howard M. (G) 38. Lee E. 47. Longman R. 24. Scarr D.
Coaches
Hunt N.	Parkinson P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', Stickland M. 🟨,
51', 1 - 0, Knibbs H. (Pen),
55', 2 - 0, Wing L. ⚽, Knibbs H. (A),
59', Revan S. ↓, Lee E. ↑,
70', Rodriguez J. ↓, Fletcher S. ↑,
71', McClean J. ↓, Longman R. ↑,
75', Stickland M. 🟨,
78', Ehibhatiomhan K. ↓, Dean H. ↑,
83', O'Connell E. ↓, Evans G. ↑,
83', Rathbone O. ↓, Faal M. ↑,
85', Wareham J. ↓, Yiadom A. ↑,
90+1', Campbell C. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
90+6', Savage C. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Wrexham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Wrexham will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Reading: Craig M. (Injury) Dean H. (Inactive) Dorsett A. J. R. (Hamstring Injury) Elliott B. (Inactive)

There will not play in Wrexham: Bolton L. (Inactive) Boyle W. (Inactive) Burton C. (Thigh Injury) Cannon A. (Inactive) Palmer O. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Wrexham: Dobson G. (Injury) Rathbone O. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Reading won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reading
English League One
08.03.25	Crawley Town - Reading	1:1 ✺
04.03.25	Reading - Exeter City	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Wigan Athletic - Reading	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Reading - Birmingham City	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Reading - Rotherham United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 TTWTW
- Wrexham AFC
English League One
08.03.25	Wrexham - Rotherham United	1:0 ✺
04.03.25	Huddersfield Town - Wrexham	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Wrexham - Bolton Wanderers	0:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
26.02.25	Wrexham - Peterborough United	2:3 penalties ✺
English League One
23.02.25	Mansfield Town - Wrexham	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
24.08.24	Wrexham - Reading	3:0

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