The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Exeter City 38%
Draw 31.5%
Shrewsbury Town 30.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.6%
27.4%
30%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.3%
22.7%
36.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Shrewsbury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shrewsbury Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
16.7%
0%
Exeter City - Shrewsbury Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Whitworth J. (G) 4. Hartridge A. 25. MacDonald A. 20. Turns E. 16. Jones P. 21. Trevitt R. 8. Francis E. 3. Purrington B. 7. Mitchell D. 17. Watts C. 27. Magennis J. (C)
31. Blackman J. (G) 5. Feeney M. (C) 6. Feeney J. 23. Nurse G. 2. Hoole L. 15. Gape D. 8. Biggins H. 3. Benning M. 11. Oliver V. 17. Gilliead A. 9. Lloyd G.
Substitutes
10. Aitchison J. 12. Cole R. 23. Colwill J. 19. Cox S. 18. Harper V. 6. Woods R. 30. Yogane T.
22. Nsiala A. 12. Ojo F. 14. Perry T. 26. Shipley J. 24. Stewart C. 7. Wheeler D. 13. Young J. (G)
Coaches
Caldwell G.
Ainsworth G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Purrington B. 🟨,
27', Magennis J. (Pen),
29', 1 - 0, Watts C. ⚽, Purrington B. (A),
39', Jones P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 2 - 0, Mitchell D. ⚽,
60', Jones P. ↓, Aitchison J. ↑,
60', Watts C. ↓, Harper V. ↑,
67', Feeney M. ↓, Stewart C. ↑,
67', Gilliead A. ↓, Perry T. ↑,
69', Mitchell D. ↓, Yogane T. ↑,
73', Gape D. 🟨,
76', Lloyd G. ↓, Wheeler D. ↑,
76', Gape D. ↓, Shipley J. ↑,
80', Hartridge A. 🟨,
80', Oliver V. 🟨,
85', Francis E. ↓, Woods R. ↑,
87', Trevitt R. 🟨,
90+4', Feeney J. 🟨,
Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Exeter won 2.
Recent matches Exeter is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Shrewsbury has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recently Shrewsbury have a series of home games.
Exeter will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Exeter: Wildschut Y.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Shrewsbury: Castledine L.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Exeter: Fitzwater J.
(Inactive)
Francis E.
(Injury)
McMillan J.
(Inactive)
Sweeney P.
(Inactive)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Exeter won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:9 (average 1.4:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Exeter won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).
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Whitworth J. (G) 
Turns E. 
Watts C. 
Magennis J. (C) 
Aitchison J. 
Harper V. 
Nsiala A. 
Ojo F. 
Shipley J. 
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