Match Info

League One - Round 4

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Kenilworth Road (Luton)

Referee: Hicks C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Luton Town		Stockport County

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.60	2.45
	2.55	3.70	2.45
	2.70	3.55	2.43
	2.65	3.81	2.55
	2.75	3.71	2.32	Watch
	2.50	3.65	2.60
	2.55	3.60	2.50	Watch
	2.55	3.70	2.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.11)	3.67 ↓ (3.68)	2.48 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Luton Town
36.3%

Draw
25.7%

Stockport County
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

25.4%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

25.2%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luton Town's form might have worsened.

Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stockport County's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stockport County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	18.2%	36.4%

Luton Town - Stockport County Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Stockport will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Stockport (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Luton (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Luton (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Stockport (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Keeley J. (G) 33. Ashby H. 2. Odoffin H. 5. Andersen M. 6. Johnston G. 31. Benagr B. 10. Donley J. 8. Walsh L. 16. Gore D. 45. Palmer K. 21. Wells N. (C)	1. Whatmuff O. (G) 24. Gordon K. 6. O'Connell E. 5. Pye E. 2. Dacres-Cogley J. 4. Bate L. 10. Norwood O. (C) 14. Edun T. 7. Diamond J. 19. Wootton K. 16. Wood H.
Substitutes
25. Jones I. 30. Kodua G. 9. Marshall C. 17. Mendel-Idowu T. 3. Naismith K. 7. Richards J. 1. Shea J. (G)	20. Adigun J. 9. Andresson B. 18. Fiorini L. 15. Glover R. 22. Mandron M. 23. Osborn B. 12. Wilson-Brown T.
Coaches
Wilshere J.	McNulty J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Benagr B. ↓, Jones I. ↑,
50', 1 - 0, Wells N. ⚽,
56', Gore D. 🟨,
64', Dacres-Cogley J. ↓, Glover R. ↑,
65', Edun T. ↓, Osborn B. ↑,
65', Wells N. ↓, Marshall C. ↑,
65', Gore D. ↓, Richards J. ↑,
68', Norwood O. 🟨,
74', Bate L. ↓, Mandron M. ↑,
75', Wood H. ↓, Andresson B. ↑,
75', Palmer K. ↓, Kodua G. ↑,
76', 2 - 0, Marshall C. ⚽, Donley J. (A),
77', Diamond J. ↓, Adigun J. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Stockport may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Luton has had a series of away games.

Recently, Stockport has had a series of home games.

Luton might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Luton: Baptiste S. (Knee Injury) Clark J. (Injury) Luker J. (Injury) Morris S. (Inactive)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.8:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Stockport County	9	5	1	3	20:11	9	16
13	Luton	8	3	2	3	16:15	1	11

Last Results with these Odds

Luton Town - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 44.32%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Stockport County - the odds 3.09 are the expected chance of winning is 30.27%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luton Town
English League One
30.08.26	Mansfield Town - Luton Town	5:2 ✺
English League Cup
27.08.26	Chelsea - Luton Town	2:0 ✺
English League One
22.08.26	Luton Town - Notts County	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Reading - Luton Town	3:4 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Gillingham - Luton Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTWW
- Stockport County
English League One
29.08.26	Stockport County - Wycombe Wanderers	5:1 ✺
22.08.26	Stockport County - Blackpool	1:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
18.08.26	Stockport County - Everton U21	6:3 ✺
English League One
15.08.26	Plymouth Argyle - Stockport County	1:3 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Stockport County - Doncaster Rovers	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
12.04.26	Luton Town - Stockport County	3:1
English League One
21.03.26	Luton Town - Stockport County	1:1
08.11.25	Stockport County - Luton Town	0:3
English National League
19.03.13	Luton Town - Stockport County	1:0
02.03.13	Stockport County - Luton Town	0:1

Upcoming Matches