Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 13

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Siarka Tarnobrzeg		Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.45	3.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (1.97)	3.45 ↑ (3.41)	3.06 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 12.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
45.4%

Draw
25.7%

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
28.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.9%

26%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

25.4%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siarka Tarnobrzeg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siarka Tarnobrzeg than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Pogoń Sokół Lubaczów Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 11th and 18th in the Relegation).

Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.

Lubaczów may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Siarka Tarnobrzeg has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:4 (averaging 3:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Siarka Tarnobrzeg against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:1 goals (averaging 2:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	14	6	2	6	22:21	1	20
18	Lubaczow	15	3	2	10	17:30	-13	11

Last Results with these Odds

Siarka Tarnobrzeg - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 44.93%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
09.10.26	Wiślanie Skawina - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	4:1 ✺
03.10.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Korona Kielce 2	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Star Starachowice - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	4:1 ✺
19.09.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Chełmianka Chełm - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLLWT
- Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
10.10.26	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Wieczysta II	1:1 ✺
02.10.26	Wisłoka Dębica - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	JKS Jarosław - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	5:2 ✺
12.09.26	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Busko-Zdrój	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
07.03.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	3:1
23.08.25	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2:2
03.05.25	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:6
05.10.24	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	1:0

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