Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 17

Date: 3 December 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadio Pietro Barbetti (Gubbio)


	Gubbio		Siena

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	2.65
	2.4	3.05	2.75
	2.41	3	2.7
	2.49	3.17	2.72
	2.45	3	2.7
	2.49	3.08	2.73	Watch
	2.41	3.15	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (1.91)	3.08 ↑ (2.91)	2.71 ↓ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gubbio
37.3%

Draw
29.4%

Siena
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

30.7%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

29.6%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gubbio's form might have worsened.

Siena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Siena's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gubbio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siena than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Siena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	37.5%	25%

Gubbio - Siena Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gubbio will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Siena will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gubbio: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Gubbio will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Gubbio won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Gubbio won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
29.11.22	Vis Pesaro - Gubbio	0:4 ✺
26.11.22	Gubbio - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	Lucchese - Gubbio	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.11.22	Padova - Gubbio	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
13.11.22	Gubbio - Recanatese	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWLL
- Siena FC
Italian Serie C Group B
29.11.22	Siena - Fermana	2:3 ✺
26.11.22	Siena - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
20.11.22	Alessandria - Siena	0:1 ✺
13.11.22	Siena - Lucchese	0:1 ✺
05.11.22	Vis Pesaro - Siena	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
07.08.22	Siena - Gubbio	1:1
Italian Serie C Group B
12.03.22	Siena - Gubbio	1:2
01.11.21	Gubbio - Siena	1:2

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