Match Info

Date: 7 November 2021, Sunday


	Siena		Modena

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.7	2.8
	2.7	2.5	2.9
	2.35	2.8	3
	2.73	2.55	3.14
	2.45	2.87	3.1
	2.51	2.88	2.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.43)	2.72 ↓ (3.18)	2.99 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siena
35.8%

Draw
33.6%

Modena
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

29.1%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

20.4%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siena than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Siena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Modena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Siena - Modena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs)).

Recent matches Siena is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Modena is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Siena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Siena won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Siena won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siena FC
Italian Serie C Group B
01.11.21	Gubbio - Siena	1:2 ✺
23.10.21	Siena - Pescara	1:1 ✺
19.10.21	Viterbese - Siena	2:0 ✺
16.10.21	Siena - Virtus Entella	1:0 ✺
09.10.21	Fermana - Siena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTLWT
- FC Modena
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.11.21	Modena - Piacenza	4:5 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
31.10.21	Modena - Carrarese	2:0 ✺
24.10.21	Olbia - Modena	0:3 ✺
19.10.21	Pescara - Modena	1:2 ✺
16.10.21	Modena - Viterbese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
03.05.14	Siena - Modena	1:3
30.11.13	Modena - Siena	1:1

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