Match Info

Date: 24 October 2021, Sunday


	Olbia		Modena

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.85	2.2
	3.25	2.88	2.2
	3.3	2.85	2.16
	3.9	2.81	2.15
	3.4	2.87	2.3
	3.62	3.06	2.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (2.96)	2.89 ↓ (2.95)	2.18 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olbia
26.5%

Draw
31.6%

Modena
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

30.7%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

22.6%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olbia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olbia than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Modena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Olbia - Modena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs)).

Recent matches Olbia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Modena is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Modena will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Olbia 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
19.10.21	Montevarchi - Olbia	0:2 ✺
16.10.21	Olbia - Imolese	0:2 ✺
09.10.21	Reggiana - Olbia	2:0 ✺
03.10.21	Olbia - Gubbio	1:0 ✺
28.09.21	Virtus Entella - Olbia	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLLWT
- FC Modena
Italian Serie C Group B
19.10.21	Pescara - Modena	1:2 ✺
16.10.21	Modena - Viterbese	2:0 ✺
09.10.21	Montevarchi - Modena	2:1 ✺
02.10.21	Modena - Lucchese	2:1 ✺
28.09.21	Cesena - Modena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWLWW

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