Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 25

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Siena		Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.55	5.9
	1.51	3.64	6.33	Watch
	1.49	3.6	6.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.55)	3.6 ↑ (3.5)	6.25 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siena
60.4%

Draw
25.2%

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

25.7%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

24.2%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siena than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Siena - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Siena (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Siena (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Nardi N. ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, Ciofi J. ⚽,
45', 2 - 1, (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Siena have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sansepolcro's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Sansepolcro has had a series of home games.

In this match, Siena is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Siena won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Siena	6	3	1	2	13:8	5	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siena FC
Italian Serie D - Group E
15.02.26	Cannara - Siena	0:4 ✺
08.02.26	Siena - Follonica Gavorrano	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Terranuova Traiana - Siena	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Siena - Scandicci	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Poggibonsi - Siena	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWLL
- Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
Italian Serie D - Group E
15.02.26	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Prato	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Terranuova Traiana	0:2 ✺
25.01.26	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Poggibonsi	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Follonica Gavorrano - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Tau Altopascio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
19.10.25	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Siena	0:1

Siena - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide