Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 22

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday


	Terranuova Traiana		Siena

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.88	2.42
	2.94	2.9	2.45	Watch
	2.92	2.84	2.46
	2.85	2.85	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↓ (2.98)	2.87 ↓ (2.88)	2.46 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Terranuova Traiana
31.4%

Draw
31.7%

Siena
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

31.5%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

30.9%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Terranuova Traiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Siena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Terranuova Traiana than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siena than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Terranuova Traiana - Siena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Tosini L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: ) and 8).

Terranuova Traiana is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Siena has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Terranuova Traiana won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Terranuova Traiana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Siena	6	3	1	2	13:8	5	10
10	Terranuova Traiana	6	2	2	2	11:9	2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Terranuova Traiana
Italian Serie D - Group E
25.01.26	Terranuova Traiana - Follonica Gavorrano	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Cannara - Terranuova Traiana	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Terranuova Traiana - Scandicci	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Poggibonsi - Terranuova Traiana	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Orvietana - Terranuova Traiana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWTWL
- Siena FC
Italian Serie D - Group E
25.01.26	Siena - Scandicci	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Poggibonsi - Siena	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Siena - Orvietana	5:1 ✺
04.01.26	Tau Altopascio - Siena	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Trestina - Siena	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
28.09.25	Siena - Terranuova Traiana	2:0
15.03.25	Siena - Terranuova Traiana	1:1
02.11.24	Terranuova Traiana - Siena	2:0

Terranuova Traiana - Siena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide