Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 31

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday


	Silva SD		UD Ourense

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.4	1.63
	4.4	3.25	1.77
	4.37	3.22	1.78
				Watch
	4.59	3.2	1.76
	4.2	3.35	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.46 ↓ (5.02)	3.28 ↓ (3.42)	1.74 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Silva SD
20.3%

Draw
27.6%

UD Ourense
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

26.6%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

25.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Silva SD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

UD Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Silva SD than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UD Ourense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Silva SD - UD Ourense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Luismi ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Silva SD won 1.

Recent matches Silva SD is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

UD Ourense is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

UD Ourense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match UD Ourense is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Silva SD won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:9 (average 1.2:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Silva SD won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:3 (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Silva SD
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
17.04.25	Boiro - Silva SD	4:2 ✺
13.04.25	Betanzos - Silva SD	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Silva SD - Polvorín	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	RC Villalbes - Silva SD	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Silva SD - Noia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWLT
- UD Ourense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
17.04.25	UD Ourense - RC Villalbes	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	UD Ourense - Estradense	3:1 ✺
06.04.25	Gran Peña - UD Ourense	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	UD Ourense - Somozas	0:0 ✺
23.03.25	Boiro - UD Ourense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
08.12.24	UD Ourense - Silva SD	1:0
31.03.24	Silva SD - UD Ourense	0:1
12.11.23	UD Ourense - Silva SD	2:5
05.02.23	UD Ourense - Silva SD	3:2
02.10.22	Silva SD - UD Ourense	0:0
06.10.18	Silva SD - UD Ourense	0:2

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