Match Info

SWITZERLAND: CHALLENGE LEAGUE - ROUND 20

Date: 2 February 2024, Friday

Location: Stade de Tourbillon (Sion)

Referee: Thies T. (Sui)


	Sion		Aarau

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.9	4.8	Watch
	1.57	4.2	5
	1.53	4.09	5.3
	1.58	4.17	5.7
	1.5	3.9	5.5
	1.57	4.1	5.06	Watch
	1.55	4	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.62)	4.05 ↑ (3.75)	5.18 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sion
59.5%

Draw
22.7%

Aarau
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

24%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

23.3%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Aarau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sion than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aarau than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	15.4%	0%

Sion - Aarau Predictions

Users Predictions: Sion will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Fayulu T. (G) 14. Lavanchy N. 2. Schmied J. 3. Ziegler R. (C) 20. Hefti N. 33. Bua K. 88. Kabacalman A. 35. Chipperfield L. 7. Chouaref Y. 11. Bouchlarhem T. 9. Sorgic D.	1. Hubel M. (G) 29. Wetz N. 5. Cvetkovic A. 2. Thaler M. 22. Qollaku A. 8. Jackle O. 10. Fazliu V. 70. Pappoe I. 11. Avdyli M. 23. Gjorgjev N. 21. Toure Y.
Substitutes
28. Andre E. 8. Baltazar 23. Berdayes T. 4. Diouf G. 71. Richard G. 30. Rusev G. 12. Safarikas A. (G) 27. Zagre A.	9. Demhasaj S. 25. Derbaci D. 4. Hasani B. 30. Hirzel A. (G) 38. Kessler R. 17. Koide H. 16. Krasniqi S. 19. Schwegler S.
Coaches
Tholot D.	Frei A.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sion won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Sion could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Aarau have a series of guest games.

In this match Sion is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Sion won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Sion won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sion
Swiss Challenge League
26.01.24	Wil 1900 - Sion	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
09.01.24	Young Boys - Sion	4:3 ✺
Swiss Challenge League
15.12.23	Sion - Schaffhausen	2:1 ✺
12.12.23	Sion - Stade Nyonnais	1:1 ✺
08.12.23	Thun - Sion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWTT
- FC Aarau
Swiss Challenge League
30.01.24	Baden - Aarau	1:2 ✺
26.01.24	Aarau - Vaduz	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
16.01.24	Zürich - Aarau	4:2 ✺
10.01.24	Basel - Aarau	2:3 ✺
Swiss Challenge League
15.12.23	Neuchâtel Xamax - Aarau	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
26.11.23	Aarau - Sion	0:0
28.07.23	Sion - Aarau	1:0
Swiss Cup
10.02.21	Aarau - Sion	4:2 ET
15.09.19	Aarau - Sion	1:2
Swiss Super League
16.05.15	Sion - Aarau	1:0
12.04.15	Aarau - Sion	0:1
Swiss Cup
04.03.15	Sion - Aarau	2:1

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