Match Info

Kategoria e Parë - Round 20

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: Skënderbeu Stadium (Korçë)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Skënderbeu Korçë		Kastrioti

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.35	5.7
	1.41	4.2	6
	1.44	4.22	5.96	Watch
	1.44	4.2	5.75
	1.47	4.5	5.32
	1.41	4	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.55)	4.25 ↑ (4)	5.75 ↑ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skënderbeu Korçë
63.1%

Draw
21.2%

Kastrioti
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

22.7%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

22.1%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skënderbeu Korçë has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Kastrioti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skënderbeu Korçë than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kastrioti than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Skënderbeu Korçë - Kastrioti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Skënderbeu won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Recently, Skënderbeu has had a series of away games.

In this match, Skënderbeu is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Skënderbeu won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Skënderbeu won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 2.8:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Kastrioti	4	1	2	1	5:5	0	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Skënderbeu Korçë
Albanian First Division
24.01.26	Besa Kavajë - Skënderbeu Korçë	2:3 ✺
17.01.26	Skënderbeu Korçë - Luftëtari Gjirokastër	1:1 ✺
Albanian Cup
10.01.26	Tirana - Skënderbeu Korçë	2:1 ET ✺
Albanian First Division
21.12.25	Kukësi - Skënderbeu Korçë	0:1 ✺
17.12.25	Iliria - Skënderbeu Korçë	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTLWW
- Kastrioti
Albanian First Division
24.01.26	Kastrioti - Pogradeci	2:4 ✺
17.01.26	Iliria - Kastrioti	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Kastrioti - Lushnja	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Burreli - Kastrioti	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Kastrioti - Apolonia Fier	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Albanian First Division
29.10.25	Kastrioti - Skënderbeu Korçë	3:2
Albanian Super League
04.05.22	Skënderbeu Korçë - Kastrioti	2:0
03.03.22	Kastrioti - Skënderbeu Korçë	1:0
18.12.21	Skënderbeu Korçë - Kastrioti	2:1
16.10.21	Kastrioti - Skënderbeu Korçë	2:0
14.04.19	Skënderbeu Korçë - Kastrioti	4:0
26.08.18	Kastrioti - Skënderbeu Korçë	0:3

Skënderbeu Korçë - Kastrioti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide