Match Info

Date: 10 September 2022, Saturday

Location: GIEKSA Arena (Bełchatów)

Referee: Urban P. (Pol)


	Skra Częstochowa		Arka Gdynia

	1	X	2
	5	3.5	1.65
	5.25	3.5	1.65
	4.75	3.5	1.65
	4.9	3.45	1.67
	5.76	3.61	1.67
	5	3.25	1.65
	5.35	3.44	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.14 ↑ (3.45)	3.46 ↑ (3.13)	1.66 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skra Częstochowa
17.9%

Draw
26.6%

Arka Gdynia
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

28.8%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

28.1%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skra Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Skra Częstochowa's form might have worsened.

Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arka Gdynia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Skra Częstochowa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arka Gdynia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Skra Częstochowa - Arka Gdynia Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Skra Częstochowa will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Arka will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - GIEKSA Arena.

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Arka is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Skra Częstochowa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Skra Częstochowa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Skra Częstochowa
Polish Division 1
03.09.22	Resovia Rzeszów - Skra Częstochowa	1:2 ✺
Polish Cup
31.08.22	Skra Częstochowa - Wisła Płock	1:3 ✺
Polish Division 1
28.08.22	Skra Częstochowa - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	0:0 ✺
20.08.22	Wisła Kraków - Skra Częstochowa	3:0 ✺
13.08.22	Skra Częstochowa - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLTLW
- Arka Gdynia
Polish Division 1
04.09.22	Arka Gdynia - GKS Tychy	5:0 ✺
Polish Cup
01.09.22	Arka Gdynia - Górnik Łęczna	0:1 penalties ✺
Polish Division 1
28.08.22	GKS Katowice - Arka Gdynia	0:1 ✺
21.08.22	Arka Gdynia - Odra Opole	1:2 ✺
14.08.22	Górnik Łęczna - Arka Gdynia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
03.04.22	Arka Gdynia - Skra Częstochowa	3:2
20.09.21	Skra Częstochowa - Arka Gdynia	2:1

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