Match Info

POLAND: POLISH CUP - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 26 September 2023, Tuesday

Location: KS Skra Częstochowa (Częstochowa)


	Skra Częstochowa		Polonia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	2.76	3.15	2.43
	2.7	3.3	2.3
	2.76	3.38	2.38	Watch
	2.81	3.3	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (3.35)	3.28 ↓ (3.45)	2.38 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skra Częstochowa
33.3%

Draw
28%

Polonia Warsaw
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

26.9%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

25.1%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skra Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Skra Częstochowa's performance.

Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Polonia Warsaw might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Skra Częstochowa - Polonia Warsaw Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
76. Rajczykowski J. (G) 5. Bartosiak M. 6. Labojko M. 15. Mackowiak M. 98. Nawrocki F. 7. Nocon P. 26. Olejnik A. 25. Sajdak P. 22. Wojciechowski Z. 10. Wojtyra D. 21. Wypart O.	57. Lemanowicz J. (G) 10. Bajdur M. 66. Kowalski-Haberek M. 21. Majsterek J. 20. Marciniec P. 77. Michalski M. 18. Pawlowski D. 9. Tomczyk P. 27. Welna T. 8. Wojciechowski O. 37. Zawistowski N.
Substitutes
8. Ciucka J. 9. Grzelka F. 99. Hajda J. (G) 77. Kolodziejczyk P. 88. Kubik T. 20. Kucharczyk O. 4. Mesjasz A. 16. Niedbala J. 11. Winciersz M.	22. Biedrzycki B. 2. Grudniewski M. 7. Kluska M. 11. Kobusinski S. 14. Okhronchuk V. 6. Piatek J. 28. Piatek L. 17. Radzinski J. 12. Sandach A. (G)

Preview

Skra Częstochowa is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Polonia is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Skra Częstochowa
Polish Division 2
23.09.23	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Skra Częstochowa	0:2 ✺
15.09.23	Skra Częstochowa - Radunia Stężyca	1:1 ✺
08.09.23	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Skra Częstochowa	0:0 ✺
02.09.23	Olimpia Grudziądz - Skra Częstochowa	0:0 ✺
25.08.23	Skra Częstochowa - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WTTTW
- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 1
23.09.23	Resovia Rzeszów - Polonia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Polonia Warsaw - Znicz Pruszków	0:1 ✺
02.09.23	Wisła Płock - Polonia Warsaw	3:0 ✺
26.08.23	Polonia Warsaw - Motor Lublin	0:1 ✺
19.08.23	Chrobry Głogów - Polonia Warsaw	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLLLW

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