Match Info

MALTA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 20

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Ta'Qali National Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	Sliema Wanderers		Santa Lucia

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.4	5.25
	1.62	3.6	5	Watch
	1.68	3.48	5.09
	1.68	3.48	5.1
	1.53	3.6	5.5
	1.62	3.42	5.37
	1.58	3.5	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.63)	3.5 ↑ (3.45)	5.24 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sliema Wanderers
56.5%

Draw
26.1%

Santa Lucia
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

26.4%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

25.4%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sliema Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Santa Lucia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sliema Wanderers than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Lucia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aquilina T. (G) 33. Acheampong G. 25. Adukor J. 77. Awad M. 11. Beerman M. 2. Borg J. 7. Engerer J. 15. Gustavo Alcino 6. Minala J. 31. Murilo Henrique (C) 10. Samuel Gomes	12. Celio (G) 15. Bradshaw A. 3. Ellul M. 6. Letherby D. 21. Moracci S. 18. Mrdja A. 10. Nagamatsu T. 4. Ogouvide A. 33. Patrick 17. Pisani J. (C) 7. Pisani S.
Substitutes
18. Agius E. 12. Agu E. (G) 13. Arthur J. 4. D'Alessandro M. 21. Frendo N. 19. Kondrakov D. 22. Lauri F. (G) 70. Micallef L. 5. Parnis J. 9. Plut V. 14. Strickland N.	5. Bonello N. 16. Formosa C. (G) 80. Gomes E. 11. Lucas Sena 8. Ojo T. 22. Oliveira C. 19. Scicluna Z. 29. Valletta J. 20. Virano G. 55. Xerri S. 14. Xuereb D.
Coaches
Zammit P.	Zinnari A.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: ) and 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Challenge League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sliema Wanderers won 3.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Santa Lucia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sliema Wanderers is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Sliema Wanderers to win the game is with odds 1.67.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Sliema Wanderers won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Sliema Wanderers won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sliema Wanderers
Maltese Premier League
03.03.24	Gżira United - Sliema Wanderers	0:2 ✺
25.02.24	Sliema Wanderers - Hamrun Spartans	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Marsaxlokk - Sliema Wanderers	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	Sliema Wanderers - Mosta	0:0 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
07.02.24	Sliema Wanderers - Balzan	1:0 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WTWTW
- Santa Lucia FC
Maltese Premier League
02.03.24	Santa Lucia - Sirens	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Gudja United - Santa Lucia	0:4 ✺
17.02.24	Santa Lucia - Naxxar Lions	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Balzan - Santa Lucia	0:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
07.02.24	Santa Lucia - Mġarr United	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
05.11.23	Santa Lucia - Sliema Wanderers	0:1
01.05.22	Santa Lucia - Sliema Wanderers	1:2
13.02.22	Sliema Wanderers - Santa Lucia	1:1
24.10.21	Santa Lucia - Sliema Wanderers	0:0
29.01.21	Santa Lucia - Sliema Wanderers	0:1
01.10.20	Sliema Wanderers - Santa Lucia	3:1
Maltese FA Trophy
01.12.19	Sliema Wanderers - Santa Lucia	0:2

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