Match Info

Brasiliense - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Defelé (Brasília)


	Sobradinho		Samambaia

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.98	2
	3.6	2.94	2.05
	3.61	3.17	2	Watch
	3.5	2.8	2.1
	3.66	3	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (3.17)	2.98 ↓ (3)	2.04 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sobradinho
25.2%

Draw
30.4%

Samambaia
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

30.5%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

29.6%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sobradinho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Samambaia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sobradinho than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samambaia than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Sobradinho - Samambaia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Samambaia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

First leg.

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Sobradinho has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Samambaia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Samambaia might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sobradinho won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Sobradinho won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sobradinho EC
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
28.02.26	Sobradinho - Brasília	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Samambaia - Sobradinho	3:0 ✺
11.02.26	Real Brasilia - Sobradinho	0:3 ✺
07.02.26	Sobradinho - Gama	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Capital CF Ltda - Sobradinho	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WLWLW
- Samambaia FC
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
28.02.26	Paranoá - Samambaia	0:6 ✺
22.02.26	Samambaia - Sobradinho	3:0 ✺
12.02.26	ARUC - Samambaia	0:3 ✺
07.02.26	Samambaia - Brasília	4:1 ✺
31.01.26	Samambaia - Brasiliense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
22.02.26	Samambaia - Sobradinho	3:0
12.02.25	Samambaia - Sobradinho	1:0
31.01.18	Sobradinho - Samambaia	1:1

Sobradinho - Samambaia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide