Match Info

Coupe de France - Final

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday

Location: Stade de France (Paris - Saint-Denis)

Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Onefootball


	Lens		Nice

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	5.5	Watch
	1.46	4.2	5.75
	1.55	4.3	5.9	Watch
	1.55	4.4	6.17
	1.56	4.28	5.86	Watch
	1.44	4.2	6
	1.58	4.48	6.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.7)	4.34 ↑ (3.96)	5.92 ↑ (4.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lens
62.3%

Draw
21.7%

Nice
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

23.9%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

23.1%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lens's performance.

Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.5%	14.6%	4.9%

Lens - Nice Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lens will win (33 of 41 users predict this - 80.49%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 92.62%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Risser R. (G) 32. Antonio K. 25. Ganiou I. 20. Sarr M. 23. Abdulhamid S. 8. Sangare M. 28. Thomasson A. (C) 14. Udol M. 10. Thauvin F. 11. Edouard O. 9. Saint-Maximin A.	31. Dupe M. (G) 33. Mendy A. 4. Dante (C) 37. Peprah K. 92. Clauss J. 39. Coulibaly D. 6. Boudaoui H. 26. Bard M. 25. Cho M. 10. Diop S. 11. Wahi E.
Substitutes
2. Aguilar R. 5. Bulatovic A. 38. Fofana R. 16. Gorgelin M. (G) 21. Haidara A. 27. Masuaku A. 22. Said W. 19. Sima A. 7. Sotoca F.	2. Abdi A. 28. Bah J. 32. Boudache K. 80. Diouf Y. (G) 47. Gouveia T. 90. Kevin 20. Louchet T. 8. Sanson M. 24. Vanhoutte C.
Coaches
Sage P.	Puel C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
25', 1 - 0, Thauvin F. ⚽, Udol M. (A),
36', Abdulhamid S. 🟨,
42', 2 - 0, Edouard O. ⚽, Thauvin F. (A),
45+3', 2 - 1, Coulibaly D. ⚽, Clauss J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', Saint-Maximin A. ↓, Said W. ↑,
65', Edouard O. ↓, Sima A. ↑,
66', Cho M. ↓, Boudache K. ↑,
67', Coulibaly D. ↓, Sanson M. ↑,
67', Diop S. ↓, Abdi A. ↑,
77', Thauvin F. ↓, Sotoca F. ↑,
78', 3 - 1, Sima A. ⚽,
79', Bard M. ↓, Kevin ↑,
80', Dante ↓, Louchet T. ↑,
85', Peprah K. 🟨,
90+2', Sanson M. 🟨,
90+3', Udol M. 🟨,

Preview

Neutral location - Stade de France.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lens won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Nice may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lens is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Lens: Baidoo S. (Muscle Injury) Gradit J. (Thigh Injury) Gurtner R. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Injury) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Pereira E. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Lens: Antonio K. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Lens won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Lens won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Lens
French Ligue 1
17.05.26	Lyon - Lens	0:4 ✺
13.05.26	Lens - Paris Saint-Germain	0:2 ✺
08.05.26	Lens - Nantes	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Nice - Lens	1:1 ✺
24.04.26	Brest - Lens	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWTT
- OGC Nice
French Ligue 1
17.05.26	Nice - Metz	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Auxerre - Nice	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Nice - Lens	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Olympique Marseille - Nice	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
22.04.26	Strasbourg - Nice	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
02.05.26	Nice - Lens	1:1
14.12.25	Lens - Nice	2:0
08.02.25	Nice - Lens	2:0
28.09.24	Lens - Nice	0:0
16.03.24	Lens - Nice	1:3
20.12.23	Nice - Lens	2:0
01.02.23	Lens - Nice	0:1

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