Match Info

Date: 19 April 2022, Tuesday


	Sochaux		Toulouse

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.37	Watch
	3	3.1	2.35
	3.15	3	2.35
	2.95	3.05	2.36
	3.22	3.2	2.44
	3.2	3.1	2.25	Watch
	3.18	3.15	2.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↓ (3.17)	3.1 ↑ (3.1)	2.36 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sochaux
30.3%

Draw
30.1%

Toulouse
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

30.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

31.2%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochaux than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Sochaux - Toulouse Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Sochaux has the most likely position - 5 (47.45%), has project points - 68, has currently - 60, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of promoted (16%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Toulouse has the most likely position - 1 (99.01%), has project points - 82, has currently - 72, has not chance of relegated, has a very good chance of promoted (>99%), has a very good chance of win league (>99%).

This event has quality 45, small importance 25, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sochaux won 0.

One and the other team during the last matches got a chain of wins.

Toulouse will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Sochaux won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Sochaux won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sochaux Montbeliard
French Ligue 2
16.04.22	Nîmes - Sochaux	1:3 ✺
09.04.22	Sochaux - Nancy	1:0 ✺
02.04.22	Quevilly - Sochaux	0:2 ✺
19.03.22	Sochaux - Rodez	2:0 ✺
15.03.22	Niort - Sochaux	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWT
- Toulouse FC
French Ligue 2
16.04.22	Toulouse - Quevilly	2:0 ✺
09.04.22	Guingamp - Toulouse	2:4 ✺
02.04.22	Toulouse - Paris FC	2:1 ✺
19.03.22	Auxerre - Toulouse	1:2 ✺
15.03.22	Toulouse - Amiens	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
20.11.21	Toulouse - Sochaux	4:1
25.01.21	Sochaux - Toulouse	0:1
14.09.20	Toulouse - Sochaux	0:0
French Ligue 1
12.04.14	Sochaux - Toulouse	2:0
30.11.13	Toulouse - Sochaux	5:1
18.05.13	Sochaux - Toulouse	1:2
23.12.12	Toulouse - Sochaux	2:0

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