Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 13

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Fisht Olympic Stadium (Sochi)

Referee: Voloshin N. (Rus)


	Sochi		Chayka Peschanokopskoye

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.4	7.82
	1.45	4.25	7.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.79)	4.33 ↑ (3.5)	7.46 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sochi
65.5%

Draw
21.8%

Chayka Peschanokopskoye
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

27.4%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

26.9%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sochi's performance.

Chayka Peschanokopskoye has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chayka Peschanokopskoye might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sochi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chayka Peschanokopskoye than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chayka Peschanokopskoye could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sochi - Chayka Peschanokopskoye Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Degtev A. (G) 59. Bart R. 22. Kozhemyakin O. 10. Kramaric M. 14. Kravtsov K. 17. Makarchuk A. 29. Nikitin K. 7. Pisarskiy V. 21. Saavedra I. 15. Suslov K. 27. Zaika K. (C)	73. Shtepa M. (G) 8. Arbuzov Y. 17. Bammatgereev M. 99. Evdokimov A. 44. Karmaev N. (C) 90. Malyarov N. 63. Nesterov A. 2. Pelikh D. 23. Uzhgin M. 13. Yanov D. 77. Zarypbekov E.
Substitutes
18. Burmistrov N. 16. Karabashev N. (G) 89. Lazarev V. 4. Litvinov V. 28. Magal R. 88. Makarov A. 5. Maslov P. 11. Meleshin P. 77. Safronov I. 72. Shagiakhmetov R. 9. Shushenachev A. 12. Zabolotnyi N. (G)	78. Chernyakov D. 4. Ibragimov K. 84. Ivashin A. 98. Khodanovich A. (G) 89. Kotov D. 9. Kozachenko O. 11. Levin M. 18. Nikolaev O.
Coaches
Moreno R.	Kaleshin E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Pisarskiy V. ⚽,
25', Saavedra I. 🟨,
38', 2 - 0, Kramaric M. ⚽,
40', Malyarov N. 🟨,
41', Pisarskiy V. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Nesterov A. ↓, Ibragimov K. ↑,
46', Zarypbekov E. ↓, Chernyakov D. ↑,
46', Nikitin K. ↓, Magal R. ↑,
52', Suslov K. 🟨,
61', Bart R. ↓, Litvinov V. ↑,
68', Saavedra I. ↓, Makarov A. ↑,
68', Pisarskiy V. ↓, Meleshin P. ↑,
74', Pelikh D. ↓, Nikolaev O. ↑,
74', Uzhgin M. ↓, Ivashin A. ↑,
74', Bammatgereev M. ↓, Kozachenko O. ↑,
79', 3 - 0, Meleshin P. ⚽,
80', Zaika K. ↓, Maslov P. ↑,
82', 4 - 0, Magal R. ⚽,
84', 5 - 0, Kravtsov K. ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 7).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Sochi have a series of guest games.

In this match Sochi is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sochi won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Sochi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sochi
Russian FNL
29.09.24	Torpedo Moscow - Sochi	2:2 ✺
Russian Cup
24.09.24	Kuban-Kholding - Sochi	0:5 ✺
Russian FNL
21.09.24	Sokol Saratov - Sochi	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Sochi - Rotor	0:0 ✺
07.09.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - Sochi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TWTTT
- Chayka Peschanokopskoye
Russian FNL
29.09.24	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:1 ✺
Russian Cup
25.09.24	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	0:3 ✺
Russian FNL
20.09.24	Ufa - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	0:1 ✺
15.09.24	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Shinnik	2:2 ✺
10.09.24	SKA Khabarovsk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian PFL South
12.03.17	Sochi - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	1:0
19.08.16	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Sochi	2:2

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