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Current Win Probability
Chayka Peschanokopskoye 24.5%
Draw 28.5%
Baltika Kaliningrad 46.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.1%
26.6%
40.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33%
26.5%
40.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chayka Peschanokopskoye has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chayka Peschanokopskoye's form might have worsened.
Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Baltika Kaliningrad's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chayka Peschanokopskoye than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chayka Peschanokopskoye, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Baltika Kaliningrad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Baltika Kaliningrad Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
73. Shtepa M. (G) 17. Bammatgereev M. 99. Evdokimov A. 4. Ibragimov K. 44. Karmaev N. 7. Khokhlachev A. (C) 90. Malyarov N. 18. Nikolaev O. 19. Rudenko V. 13. Yanov D. 77. Zarypbekov E.
67. Borisko M. (G) 16. Andrade K. (C) 14. Appaev K. 4. Gassama N. 6. Isaenko O. 99. Lisakovich V. 8. Mendel A. 96. Mokhammad A. 95. Petrov I. 17. Saus V. 2. Varatynov S.
Substitutes
8. Arbuzov Y. 78. Chernyakov D. 84. Ivashin A. 98. Khodanovich A. (G) 89. Kotov D. 9. Kozachenko O. 11. Levin M. 2. Pelikh D. 23. Uzhgin M.
10. Alex Fernandes 59. Avanesyan T. 70. Eldarushev A. 3. Kalachev I. 11. Kovalev Y. 44. Lyubakov E. (G) 18. Nikishin K. 5. Osipov A. 9. Stefanovich I. 1. Svinov I. (G) 22. Titkov N.
Coaches
Kaleshin E.
Talalaev A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Rudenko V. ↓, Arbuzov Y. ↑,
39', Arbuzov Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Isaenko O. ↓, Kovalev Y. ↑,
54', Evdokimov A. 🟨,
60', Malyarov N. ↓, Chernyakov D. ↑,
61', 🟨,
62', 0 - 1, Lisakovich V. (Pen),
66', Petrov I. 🟨,
67', Appaev K. ↓, Eldarushev A. ↑,
67', Lisakovich V. ↓, Alex Fernandes ↑,
72', Bammatgereev M. ↓, Kozachenko O. ↑,
72', Nikolaev O. ↓, Ivashin A. ↑,
72', Karmaev N. ↓, Pelikh D. ↑,
82', Mokhammad A. ↓, Avanesyan T. ↑,
82', Petrov I. ↓, Osipov A. ↑,
90+2', Khokhlachev A. 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 5 and 7).
Recent matches Chayka Peschanokopskoye is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Baltika is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recently Chayka Peschanokopskoye have a series of guest games.
Baltika will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Chayka Peschanokopskoye won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Chayka Peschanokopskoye won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.
Watch
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Shtepa M. (G) 
Zarypbekov E. 
Andrade K. (C) 
Gassama N. 
Lisakovich V. 
Alex Fernandes 
Avanesyan T. 
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