The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shinnik 33.5%
Draw 28.5%
Akron Tolyatti 37.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.1%
27.9%
48%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.9%
26%
44.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shinnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shinnik's performance.
Akron Tolyatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Akron Tolyatti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shinnik that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Akron Tolyatti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Shinnik - Akron Tolyatti Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
51. Mitrov T. (G) 38. Aleynikov V. 27. Chernyi A. 11. Fedorov Z. 24. Jonathan J. 70. Kul R. 61. Malakhov A. 15. Samoilov D. (C) 4. Yakushevich G. 89. Zagre B. 5. Zinkov V.
78. Vasyutin A. (G) 17. Bakaev S. 22. Baranok N. 80. Bardybakhin V. 23. Dimoski B. 25. Esanov S. 97. Gribov S. 65. Moskvichev V. (C) 10. Palienko M. 4. Paulo Vitor 13. Tchibota M.
Substitutes
1. Aydarov S. (G) 7. Gbamble N. 14. Kalinin G. 91. Skvortsov L. 8. Sukhomlinov D. 22. Sultonov M. 75. Vambolt D. (G) 10. Zhamaletdinov T.
82. Alekhin A. 11. Benchimol 19. Bokoev M. 91. Boldyrev M. 7. Danilin K. 5. Djurasovic A. 69. Dmitriev A. 21. Fernandez R. 14. Khubulov V. 6. Kuzmin M. 99. Timoshenko I. 1. Volkov S. (G)
Coaches
Cheryshev D.
Tedeev Z.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Malakhov A. (Own goal),
45+1', Gribov S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Yakushevich G. 🟨,
62', Palienko M. ↓, Djurasovic A. ↑,
62', Dimoski B. ↓, Benchimol ↑,
62', Gribov S. ↓, Fernandez R. ↑,
64', Kul R. 🟨,
70', Kul R. ↓, Zhamaletdinov T. ↑,
70', Aleynikov V. ↓, Sukhomlinov D. ↑,
75', Esanov S. ↓, Kuzmin M. ↑,
83', Fedorov Z. ↓, Gbamble N. ↑,
85', Kuzmin M. 🟨,
89', Samoilov D. 🟥,
89', Baranok N. 🟨,
90+1', Moskvichev V. ↓, Bokoev M. ↑,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Shinnik won 3.
Recent matches Shinnik is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Akron is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Shinnik could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Akron will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Shinnik won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:13 (average 1.1:1.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Shinnik won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Shinnik - the odds 3.95 are the expected chance of winning is 24.06%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.