Match Info

Premier League - Round 25

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Bidco United		Sofapaka

	1	X	2
	2.18	2.98	3.15
	2.2	3.2	3.05
	2.24	3.15	3.04	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3
	2.18	3.16	3.07
	1.88	3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.96)	3.07 ↓ (3.12)	3.18 ↓ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bidco United
42.1%

Draw
29.5%

Sofapaka
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

29.4%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

24%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bidco United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Sofapaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bidco United than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Bidco United - Sofapaka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bidco United won 1.

Bidco United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sofapaka has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Bidco United could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Bidco United won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bidco United won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bidco United
Kenyan Premier League
14.03.26	APS Bomet - Bidco United	1:1 ✺
02.03.26	Bidco United - Ulinzi Stars	1:0 ✺
26.02.26	Bidco United - Mara Sugar	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Nairobi United - Bidco United	3:0 ✺
13.02.26	Bidco United - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWTLL
- Sofapaka FC
Kenyan Premier League
14.03.26	Sofapaka - Nairobi United	0:1 ✺
02.03.26	Mara Sugar - Sofapaka	3:1 ✺
26.02.26	Sofapaka - Police FC	0:2 ✺
20.02.26	Kakamega Homeboyz - Sofapaka	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Sofapaka - Muranga Seal	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
09.01.26	Sofapaka - Bidco United	1:1
21.12.24	Bidco United - Sofapaka	0:2
02.03.24	Bidco United - Sofapaka	1:1
07.01.24	Sofapaka - Bidco United	3:0
22.04.23	Sofapaka - Bidco United	0:2
19.02.23	Bidco United - Sofapaka	2:0
14.05.22	Sofapaka - Bidco United	2:1

Bidco United - Sofapaka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide