Match Info

NORWAY: NM CUP - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 28 June 2023, Wednesday

Location: Fosshaugane Campus (Sogndal)

Referee: Aslam U. (Nor)


	Sogndal		Sarpsborg 08

	1	X	2
	4.2	4	1.58
	4.7	4.34	1.65
	4.6	3.9	1.57
	4.7	4.33	1.64
	4.5	4.1	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.54 ↑ (4.36)	4.13 ↑ (3.9)	1.61 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sogndal
20.3%

Draw
22.3%

Sarpsborg 08
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

23.3%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

25%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sogndal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Sarpsborg 08 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sogndal than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Sogndal - Sarpsborg 08 Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sarpsborg will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Saetren D. (G) 11. Hoven A. 3. Gueye M. 13. Flo P. (C) 17. Sjolstad M. 15. Nesso K. 20. Twum I. 10. Skaanes K. 7. Jonsson J. 8. Ingimundarson V. 27. Orjasaeter S.	21. Kristiansen A. (G) 6. Hoyland M. 31. Skipper A. 3. Kvile S. 17. Soltvedt J. 8. Andersen J. 18. Martinsson Ngouali S. 11. Tibbling S. 10. Lundqvist R. 25. Maigaard M. (C) 22. Opseth K.
Substitutes
99. Diaz A. 1. Fij R. (G) 33. Kalstad A. 9. Kupen E. 23. Nord A. 31. Nundal J. 32. Oren M. 29. Steinset K. 26. van der Spa A.	7. Andersen M. 90. Baah C. 72. Christiansen S. 23. Mogensen G. 40. Oy L. (G) 29. Torp V. 32. Wichne E.
Coaches
Flo T.	Billborn S.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sogndal won 1.

Sogndal is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Sarpsborg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sarpsborg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sarpsborg is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Sogndal won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Sogndal won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sogndal Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
24.06.23	Sogndal - Fredrikstad	0:1 ✺
10.06.23	Mjøndalen - Sogndal	0:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
07.06.23	Sogndal - Moss	2:0 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
04.06.23	Sogndal - Start	2:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
01.06.23	Lysekloster - Sogndal	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTWWW
- Sarpsborg 08
Norwegian Eliteserien
25.06.23	Rosenborg - Sarpsborg 08	0:3 ✺
11.06.23	Sarpsborg 08 - Viking Stavanger	1:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
07.06.23	Sarpsborg 08 - Odd	3:1 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
04.06.23	Tromsø - Sarpsborg 08	2:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
01.06.23	Frigg Oslo - Sarpsborg 08	3:5 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
22.10.17	Sogndal - Sarpsborg 08	3:3
02.04.17	Sarpsborg 08 - Sogndal	3:1
18.09.16	Sogndal - Sarpsborg 08	3:0
03.04.16	Sarpsborg 08 - Sogndal	0:0
21.09.14	Sarpsborg 08 - Sogndal	3:1
06.04.14	Sogndal - Sarpsborg 08	1:1
18.08.13	Sarpsborg 08 - Sogndal	0:1

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