Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-ligaen - Round 30

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Fosshaugane Campus (Sogndal)

Referee: Haugen J. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	Direkte Sport, TV2 Play


	Sogndal		Vålerenga

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.2	1.62
	4.4	4	1.62
	4.75	4.33	1.63
	4.82	4.42	1.62
	4.58	4.32	1.63	Watch
	4.5	4	1.57
	4.49	4.25	1.65
	4.75	4.33	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.6 ↓ (4.69)	4.23 ↑ (4.12)	1.62 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sogndal
20.3%

Draw
22.1%

Vålerenga
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

22.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

21.5%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sogndal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Vålerenga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sogndal than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Sogndal - Vålerenga Predictions

Users Predictions: Vålerenga will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jendal L. (G) 3. Robertsen J. 32. Oren M. 6. Hoyland M. 17. Sjolstad M. 29. Steinset K. 8. Flaten J. 10. Skaanes K. (C) 31. Nundal J. 30. Flataker E. 77. Borgthorsson O.	21. Sjoeng M. (G) 2. Borchgrevink C. (C) 3. Kjelsen A. 55. Jarl S. 6. Hedenstad V. 22. Sjovold S. 29. Ambina F. 15. Hagen E. 25. El Abdellaoui J. 80. Brajanac M. 24. Strand P.
Substitutes
36. Aroy M. 2. Eriksson F. 33. Granheim S. A. 9. Hintsa O. 11. Mensah E. 35. Saetren D. (G) 37. Stavo V.	5. Fasika I. 77. Jarosinski L. (G) 14. Obasi O. 4. Olsen A. 9. Rijks M.
Coaches
Kalvenes M.	Bakke G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Flaten J. 🟨,
11', 0 - 1, Brajanac M. ⚽, Borchgrevink C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 0 - 2, Hagen E. ⚽, Hedenstad V. (A),
68', Borgthorsson O. ↓, Hintsa O. ↑,
68', Nundal J. ↓, Mensah E. ↑,
71', Jarl S. ↓, Fasika I. ↑,
71', El Abdellaoui J. ↓, Obasi O. ↑,
71', Brajanac M. ↓, Rijks M. ↑,
73', Robertsen J. 🟨,
82', Ambina F. ↓, Olsen A. ↑,
83', Steinset K. ↓, Eriksson F. ↑,
90', 0 - 3, Obasi O. ⚽, Strand P. (A),
90+1', Obasi O. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien).

Vålerenga is Qualified for Eliteserien

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sogndal won 1.

Sogndal is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vålerenga is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vålerenga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Vålerenga have a series of home games.

In this match Vålerenga is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Sogndal won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17:16 (average 1.3:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Sogndal won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:4 (average 2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sogndal Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
02.11.24	Kongsvinger - Sogndal	0:1 ✺
26.10.24	Sogndal - Åsane	0:2 ✺
21.10.24	Mjøndalen - Sogndal	0:0 ✺
05.10.24	Sogndal - Aalesunds	0:1 ✺
28.09.24	Stabæk - Sogndal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLTLL
- Vålerenga Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
02.11.24	Vålerenga - Start	1:1 ✺
25.10.24	Stabæk - Vålerenga	1:2 ✺
21.10.24	Vålerenga - Egersund	4:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
06.10.24	Vålerenga - Fredrikstad	0:1 ET ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
02.10.24	Vålerenga - Mjøndalen	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
01.04.24	Vålerenga - Sogndal	1:1
Club Friendly
11.03.22	Vålerenga - Sogndal	1:1
Norwegian Eliteserien
26.11.17	Sogndal - Vålerenga	5:2
23.04.17	Vålerenga - Sogndal	3:0
15.07.16	Vålerenga - Sogndal	1:1
20.03.16	Sogndal - Vålerenga	1:0
05.10.14	Vålerenga - Sogndal	2:1

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