Match Info

FNL - Round 9

Date: 8 September 2025, Monday

Location: Stadion Urozhay (Karavaevo)

Referee: Zhabchenko A. (Ukr)


	Spartak Kostroma		Sokol Saratov

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.44	5.22
	1.79	3.46	5.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.79)	3.45 ↑ (3.37)	5.13 ↑ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Kostroma
53.7%

Draw
27.6%

Sokol Saratov
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

27.9%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

27.3%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Kostroma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Sokol Saratov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Kostroma than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sokol Saratov than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Spartak Kostroma - Sokol Saratov Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Spartak Kostroma will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Spartak Kostroma (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
86. Korets N. (G) 69. Chursin K. 35. Enin I. 99. Gharibyan A. 18. Ignatiev M. 22. Nemchenko A. 8. Sadov D. 55. Saplinov A. 4. Supranovich N. 2. Tarasov N. 5. Zhilmostnykh D.	36. Levashov M. (G) 25. Bakharev G. 55. Bykov A. 23. Churikov I. 70. Daurov R. 33. Gloydman N. 5. Kovacevic V. 17. Mukhin A. 6. Pechenkin N. 9. Shpitalnyi V. 51. Sinyak A.
Substitutes
3. Bugriev S. 23. Chikanchi M. 56. Demyanov V. 68. Gaydash M. (G) 80. Khorin A. A. 78. Kiselev G. 24. Kudryashov I. 66. Makarenko Y. 11. Nazarenko E. 57. Tlekhugov M.	19. Butaev A. 64. Dolya A. 69. Ermolin R. 39. Golijanin A. 10. Gribov S. 13. Kireenko P. 92. Kostin V. 1. Kraykov T. (G) 42. Shaykhtdinov D.
Coaches
Bondar S.	Kascelan M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
15', Korets N. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Saplinov A. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Shpitalnyi V. ⚽,
36', 2 - 1, Gharibyan A. ⚽,
41', Nemchenko A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Bakharev G. 🟨,
56', Gharibyan A. ↓, Chikanchi M. ↑,
56', Chursin K. ↓, Nazarenko E. ↑,
72', Chikanchi M. 🟨,
73', Churikov I. ↓, Kireenko P. ↑,
77', Nemchenko A. ↓, Demyanov V. ↑,
79', Enin I. ↓, Khorin A. A. ↑,
81', Sinyak A. ↓, Ermolin R. ↑,
83', Supranovich N. 🟨,
86', Sadov D. ↓, Bugriev S. ↑,
88', Pechenkin N. 🟨,
90+3', Zhilmostnykh D. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Spartak Kostroma has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sokol Saratov has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Spartak Kostroma is considered a favorite.

We predict that Spartak Kostroma will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Kostroma
Russian FNL
04.09.25	Spartak Kostroma - Ural	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Rotor - Spartak Kostroma	1:2 ✺
24.08.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Spartak Kostroma	1:2 ✺
17.08.25	Spartak Kostroma - Chelyabinsk	2:1 ✺
11.08.25	Torpedo Moscow - Spartak Kostroma	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.1 TWWWW
- Sokol Saratov
Russian FNL
03.09.25	Sokol Saratov - KAMAZ	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Sokol Saratov	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Chelyabinsk - Sokol Saratov	3:1 ✺
16.08.25	Sokol Saratov - Rotor	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Sokol Saratov - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLTT

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