Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 33

Date: 20 May 2024, Monday

Location: Stadion Lokomotiv (Saratov)

Referee: Seldyakov V. (Rus)


	Sokol Saratov		Volgar Astrakhan

	1	X	2
	2.21	3.2	3.41
	2.21	3.14	3.41
	2.34	3.16	3.11	Watch
	2.31	3.15	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.44)	3.16 ↑ (3.09)	3.2 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sokol Saratov
41.2%

Draw
29.5%

Volgar Astrakhan
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

30.5%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

32.1%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sokol Saratov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Volgar Astrakhan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sokol Saratov than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volgar Astrakhan than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Sokol Saratov - Volgar Astrakhan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Kosarevskiy P. (G) 19. Azarov V. 8. Dudiev A. 66. Gudkov Y. 55. Maksimenko A. 24. Maltsev M. 3. Pliev Z. 7. Samko V. 77. Sasin D. 44. Serikov I. (C) 28. Zabelin P.	99. Smirnov O. (G) 5. Atabayev E. 43. Gilyazetdinov A. 22. Khomukha I. (C) 8. Klenkin D. 19. Kosarev K. 57. Krotov V. 88. Obivalin S. 7. Pavlishin A. 42. Shaikhtdinov D. 55. Shlyakov E.
Substitutes
23. Abazov A. 11. Babaev V. 5. Batyrev A. 99. Evdokimov A. 56. Ivakhnov M. 18. Kamyshev I. 21. Kozlovskiy N. 1. Kraykov T. (G) 52. Leontjev I. 25. Mankov N. 27. Molodtsov A. 17. Ozmanov D.	6. Krivokhizhin E. 17. Lesnikov D. 70. Malyarov N. 14. Poluboyarinov D. 90. Shakuro P. 31. Tkachuk D. 23. Ushatov K. 1. Yampolskiy V. (G) 9. Zhamaletdinov T.
Coaches
Baga A.	Klyuev D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Shlyakov E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kosarev K. ↓, Tkachuk D. ↑,
49', 1 - 0, Maksimenko A. ⚽,
60', Klenkin D. ↓, Lesnikov D. ↑,
67', Gilyazetdinov A. ↓, Ushatov K. ↑,
67', Pavlishin A. ↓, Poluboyarinov D. ↑,
74', Azarov V. ↓, Babaev V. ↑,
75', Atabayev E. ↓, Zhamaletdinov T. ↑,
78', Dudiev A. ↓, Molodtsov A. ↑,
78', Sasin D. ↓, Kozlovskiy N. ↑,
87', Samko V. ↓, Evdokimov A. ↑,
87', Maksimenko A. ↓, Ivakhnov M. ↑,
90+1', Krotov V. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sokol Saratov won 2.

Sokol Saratov is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Volgar is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Volgar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sokol Saratov won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Sokol Saratov won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sokol Saratov
Russian FNL
12.05.24	Sokol Saratov - Tyumen	2:1 ✺
08.05.24	Sokol Saratov - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	0:0 ✺
04.05.24	Khimki - Sokol Saratov	5:4 ✺
28.04.24	Shinnik - Sokol Saratov	1:0 ✺
24.04.24	Sokol Saratov - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTLLL
- FC Volgar Astrakhan
Russian FNL
16.05.24	Volgar Astrakhan - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:0 ✺
12.05.24	Volgar Astrakhan - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:1 ✺
04.05.24	Dynamo Makhachkala - Volgar Astrakhan	3:0 ✺
28.04.24	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Volgar Astrakhan	1:1 ✺
24.04.24	Volgar Astrakhan - Torpedo Moscow	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
02.09.23	Volgar Astrakhan - Sokol Saratov	1:2
05.11.16	Sokol Saratov - Volgar Astrakhan	0:0
16.07.16	Volgar Astrakhan - Sokol Saratov	2:1
10.05.16	Sokol Saratov - Volgar Astrakhan	2:1
25.10.15	Volgar Astrakhan - Sokol Saratov	2:0
10.05.15	Volgar Astrakhan - Sokol Saratov	1:1
19.10.14	Sokol Saratov - Volgar Astrakhan	1:0

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