Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 32

Date: 7 June 2023, Wednesday


	Sokół Ostróda		Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.3	2.15
	2.35	3.7	2.3
	2.58	4.01	2.08
	2.1	3.2	2.9
	2.89	3.52	2.19	Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.3)	3.52 ↑ (3.5)	2.35 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sokół Ostróda
35.8%

Draw
25.7%

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

26%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

24.3%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sokół Ostróda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sokół Ostróda than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Sokół Ostróda - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ostróda will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Tomaszów Mazowiecki will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ostróda won 2.

Ostróda is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tomaszów Mazowiecki has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Ostróda won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Ostróda won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sokół Ostróda
Polish Division 3 - Group I
28.05.23	Pelikan Łowicz - Sokół Ostróda	1:1 ✺
24.05.23	Sokół Ostróda - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:2 ✺
21.05.23	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Sokół Ostróda	3:1 ✺
13.05.23	Sokół Ostróda - Legionovia Legionowo	1:1 ✺
06.05.23	Unia Skierniewice - Sokół Ostróda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TTLTL
- Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
28.05.23	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Błonianka Błonie	0:2 ✺
24.05.23	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Pelikan Łowicz	0:2 ✺
19.05.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	3:2 ✺
14.05.23	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:1 ✺
06.05.23	Legionovia Legionowo - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
06.11.22	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Sokół Ostróda	1:1
08.03.20	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Sokół Ostróda	2:1
10.08.19	Sokół Ostróda - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:0
19.04.19	Sokół Ostróda - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:1
05.09.18	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Sokół Ostróda	0:0
18.05.18	Sokół Ostróda - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	0:1
15.10.17	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Sokół Ostróda	1:0

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