Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday


	Sol de América de Formosa		Santamarina de Tandil

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.25	7.25
	1.46	3.45	7.8
	1.5	3.2	8.4
	1.54	3.3	8.74	Watch
	1.44	3.4	8.5
	1.44	3.5	8.4
	1.46	3.45	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.88)	3.36 ↑ (3.02)	8.13 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sol de América de Formosa
61.7%

Draw
27.1%

Santamarina de Tandil
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

29.9%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

29.1%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sol de América de Formosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sol de América de Formosa's performance.

Santamarina de Tandil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santamarina de Tandil might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sol de América de Formosa than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sol de América de Formosa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santamarina de Tandil than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santamarina de Tandil could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	37.5%	0%

Sol de América de Formosa - Santamarina de Tandil Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sol de América will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sol de América: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 1 - 0, Abecasis S. (Pen),

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sol de América de Formosa
Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.10.24	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Sol de América de Formosa	1:1 ✺
13.10.24	Sol de América de Formosa - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Sol de América de Formosa - Cipolletti	3:1 ✺
29.09.24	Cipolletti - Sol de América de Formosa	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Sarmiento de La Banda - Sol de América de Formosa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWWTL
- Santamarina de Tandil
Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.10.24	Santamarina de Tandil - Juventud Unida Universitario	3:0 ✺
13.10.24	Juventud Unida Universitario - Santamarina de Tandil	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	Central Norte - Santamarina de Tandil	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Santamarina de Tandil - Central Norte	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Santamarina de Tandil	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 WTLTW

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