Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 October 2024, Sunday


	Sol de América de Formosa		Kimberley de Mar del Plata

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.3	6.25
	1.87	2.95	4.5
	1.83	3.09	4.23
	1.96	3.13	4.26	Watch
	1.83	2.9	4.5
	1.76	3.29	4.52
	1.87	2.95	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.62)	3.09 ↓ (3.24)	4.68 ↓ (5.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sol de América de Formosa
50.7%

Draw
29.7%

Kimberley de Mar del Plata
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

28%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

27.4%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sol de América de Formosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sol de América de Formosa's form might have worsened.

Kimberley de Mar del Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sol de América de Formosa than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sol de América de Formosa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kimberley de Mar del Plata than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Sol de América de Formosa - Kimberley de Mar del Plata Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Gimenez M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sol de América de Formosa
Argentinian Torneo Federal
06.10.24	Sol de América de Formosa - Cipolletti	3:1 ✺
29.09.24	Cipolletti - Sol de América de Formosa	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Sarmiento de La Banda - Sol de América de Formosa	1:0 ✺
08.09.24	Sol de América de Formosa - 9 de Julio	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Central Norte - Sol de América de Formosa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTLWL
- CA Kimberley de Mar del Plata
Argentinian Torneo Federal
06.10.24	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	Deportivo Camioneros - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	4:3 ✺
08.09.24	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Argentino Monte Maíz	2:1 ✺
01.09.24	Germinal - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLLWT

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