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Current Win Probability
Sousa 59.1%
Draw 24.8%
Atlético Cajazeirense de Desportos 16.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.8%
23.9%
16.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.1%
24.8%
15.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Atlético Cajazeirense de Desportos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Cajazeirense de Desportos than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Sousa - Atlético Cajazeirense de Desportos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Moises (G) 7. Aslen Kevin 8. Diego Viana 16. Felipe Jacare 6. Gilmar 5. Hebert 2. Iranilson 11. Luis Henrique 4. Marcelo 3. Yan 9. Yan Philippe
12. Filipe (G) 6. Andrei Ramalho 9. Bruno Goncalves 18. Digao 13. Dorival 15. Edgar 2. Felipinho 7. Leandro 11. Robinho 20. Sanchez J. 4. Wesley
Substitutes
13. Abraao 20. Crystian 28. Gabriel Souza (G) 22. Lucas Gabriel (G) 10. Lucas Zanatelli 21. Mateuzinho 19. Matheus Bambu 18. Natalicio 15. Nathan 17. Neto Lisboa 14. Pedro Costa 25. Veraldo
21. Braga J. 8. Daniel Costa 14. Deivinho 3. Fernando 17. Gabriel Henrique 19. Gean 25. Joao Pedro 1. Luizao (G) 5. Miro 16. Nino Potiguar 23. Pedro Favorito Demarchi 10. Santiago
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Felipe Jacare ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, Diego Viana ⚽,
37', Bruno Goncalves 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Leandro ↓, Daniel Costa ↑,
46', Robinho ↓, Gabriel Henrique ↑,
51', Hebert 🟨,
57', Dorival 🟨,
61', Aslen Kevin ↓, Mateuzinho ↑,
64', 2 - 1, (Own goal),
67', Edgar 🟨,
68', Sanchez J. ↓, Gean ↑,
68', Dorival ↓, Fernando ↑,
73', Felipe Jacare ↓, Nathan ↑,
76', Gabriel Henrique ↓, Miro ↑,
81', Diego Viana ↓, Pedro Costa ↑,
81', Yan Philippe ↓, Matheus Bambu ↑,
83', 🟨,
84', Miro 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+2', Gilmar 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paraibano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sousa won 4.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, Sousa is seen as the favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sousa won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 1.3:0.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Sousa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
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Moises (G) 
Sanchez J. 
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