Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 6 August 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Sousa		Falcon

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.3	4.1
	1.85	3.4	3.6
	1.71	3.23	3.68
	1.72	3.48	4.6
	1.72	3.4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 (1.75)	3.36 ↓ (3.4)	4.1 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sousa
51.4%

Draw
26.7%

Falcon
21.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52%

26.8%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

28%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Falcon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falcon than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sousa - Falcon Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sousa will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Sousa is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Falcon is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sousa will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sousa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sousa
Brazilian Serie D
29.07.23	Falcon - Sousa	1:1 ✺
23.07.23	Sousa - Globo FC	4:0 ✺
15.07.23	Pacajus - Sousa	1:1 ✺
09.07.23	Sousa - Nacional de Patos	1:0 ✺
03.07.23	Campinense - Sousa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWTWW
- Falcon FC
Brazilian Serie D
29.07.23	Falcon - Sousa	1:1 ✺
23.07.23	Retrô Brasil - Falcon	1:2 ✺
15.07.23	Falcon - Atlético de Alagoinhas	1:0 ✺
08.07.23	Sergipe - Falcon	1:3 ✺
02.07.23	Falcon - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
29.07.23	Falcon - Sousa	1:1

Sousa - Falcon