Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Tormenta Stadium (Statesboro, GA)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	South Georgia Tormenta		Charleston Battery

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.1	3.8	1.63
	4	3.67	1.73
				Watch
	4.36	3.8	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.15 ↑ (4.13)	3.76 ↑ (3.75)	1.67 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Georgia Tormenta
21.8%

Draw
24.1%

Charleston Battery
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

24.3%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

23.9%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Georgia Tormenta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Charleston Battery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Georgia Tormenta than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charleston Battery than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

South Georgia Tormenta - Charleston Battery Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Jones S. (G) 6. Stretch C. 26. Kasanzu J. 58. Jimenez O. 3. Gabriel Alves 8. Gabriel Cabral 14. Drey A. 7. Reid-Stephen N. 16. Tunbridge M. 10. Gray T. 19. Bazini Y.	1. Garner C. (G) 2. Segbers M. 5. Archer L. 16. Smith G. 7. Blackstock L. 91. Houssou N. 8. Ycaza E. 11. Ortiz V. 10. Rodriguez A. 19. Klein J. 26. Jennings C.
Substitutes
71. Bwana H. 22. Doyle C. 33. Fernandez-Veitia A. (G) 31. Healy L. 4. Nare T. 11. Nyandjo J. 23. Rasheed M. 9. Vivas S. 28. Walker A.	4. Allan C. 36. Conway J. 62. Dossantos N. 29. Kelly J. 9. Myers M. 12. Rodriguez D. 56. Zamudio L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Archer L. ⚽,
38', Gray T. 🟨,
43', Segbers M. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Gabriel Cabral ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Blackstock L. ↓, Dossantos N. ↑,
46', Houssou N. ↓, Allan C. ↑,
48', Ycaza E. 🟨,
59', 1 - 2, Jennings C. ⚽,
61', Drey A. 🟨,
61', Archer L. 🟨,
62', Ortiz V. ↓, Kelly J. ↑,
62', Jennings C. ↓, Myers M. ↑,
64', 1 - 3, Ycaza E. ⚽,
68', Kasanzu J. 🟨,
70', Bazini Y. ↓, Vivas S. ↑,
70', Drey A. ↓, Walker A. ↑,
70', Tunbridge M. ↓, Nyandjo J. ↑,
70', Gray T. ↓, Bwana H. ↑,
72', Klein J. ↓, Conway J. ↑,
72', Smith G. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
75', Garner C. 🟨,
79', Gabriel Cabral ↓, Doyle C. ↑,
81', Stretch C. 🟨,
83', 2 - 3, Vivas S. ⚽,
90+1', Vivas S. (Pen),
90+5', 3 - 3, Reid-Stephen N. ⚽,
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Conway J. (Pen),
1, Nyandjo J. (Pen),
2, Rodriguez A. (Pen),
2, Bwana H. (Pen),
3, Myers M. (Pen),
3, Walker A. (Pen),
4, Ycaza E. (Pen),
4, Jimenez O. (Pen),
5, Kelly J. (Pen),
5, Gabriel Alves (Pen),

Preview

Tormenta is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Charleston Battery has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tormenta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Charleston Battery is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tormenta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Georgia Tormenta
USL League One
25.06.25	South Georgia Tormenta - Naples	2:1 ✺
21.06.25	One Knoxville - South Georgia Tormenta	3:0 ✺
14.06.25	Texoma - South Georgia Tormenta	2:2 ✺
07.06.25	South Georgia Tormenta - Charlotte Independence	0:2 ✺
USL Cup
31.05.25	Tampa Bay Rowdies - South Georgia Tormenta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLTLL
- Charleston Battery
USL Championship
21.06.25	Charleston Battery - Phoenix Rising	4:1 ✺
18.06.25	Miami - Charleston Battery	1:0 ✺
14.06.25	Hartford Athletic - Charleston Battery	1:2 ✺
07.06.25	Loudoun United - Charleston Battery	1:1 ✺
USL Cup
31.05.25	Charleston Battery - Greenville Triumph	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

US Open Cup
15.04.25	Charleston Battery - South Georgia Tormenta	4:0
08.05.24	Charleston Battery - South Georgia Tormenta	3:2 ET
07.04.22	Charleston Battery - South Georgia Tormenta	0:1
16.05.18	Charleston Battery - South Georgia Tormenta	1:0

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