Match Info

USL League One

Date: 25 June 2025, Wednesday

Location: Tormenta Stadium (Statesboro, GA)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	South Georgia Tormenta		Naples

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.57	2.97
				Watch
	2	3.38	3.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.28)	3.48 ↓ (3.53)	3.14 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Georgia Tormenta
44%

Draw
26.6%

Naples
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

26%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

25.1%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Georgia Tormenta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Naples has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Georgia Tormenta than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naples than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

South Georgia Tormenta - Naples Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Naples (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pack A. (G) 3. Gabriel Alves 26. Kasanzu J. 23. Rasheed M. 6. Stretch C. 22. Doyle C. (C) 28. Walker A. 10. Gray T. 7. Reid-Stephen N. 11. Nyandjo J. 9. Vivas S.	1. Delgado E. (C) 3. Cisneros J. 25. Dengler J. 2. Evans B. 14. O'Connor K. 8. Heckenberg C. 32. Sulia R. 22. Prpa L. 11. Weiss J. 10. Onen J. 9. Henderlong K.
Substitutes
19. Bazini Y. 14. Drey A. 8. Gabriel Cabral 29. Gottlieb B. 31. Healy L. 58. Jimenez O. 13. Jones S. (G) 4. Nare T. 16. Tunbridge M.	30. Cerro I. 6. Fernandes G. 23. Ferrin A. 12. Garrett I. 17. Halterman A. (G) 7. Pasnik T. 21. Torrellas M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
33', Gabriel Alves 🟨,
36', Pack A. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Onen J. (Pen),
43', 1 - 1, Dengler J. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Onen J. ↓, Ferrin A. ↑,
46', Pack A. ↓, Jones S. ↑,
57', Prpa L. 🟨,
60', Doyle C. ↓, Gabriel Cabral ↑,
60', Vivas S. ↓, Bazini Y. ↑,
65', O'Connor K. ↓, Torrellas M. ↑,
66', Gray T. 🟨,
67', 🟨,
71', Cisneros J. 🟥,
73', Gray T. ↓, Tunbridge M. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Reid-Stephen N. ⚽, Tunbridge M. (A),
85', Prpa L. ↓, Garrett I. ↑,
85', Weiss J. ↓, Pasnik T. ↑,
85', Rasheed M. ↓, Nare T. ↑,
87', Jones S. 🟨,
90+7', Gabriel Cabral 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )).

Tormenta has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Naples has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Naples may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tormenta could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

South Georgia Tormenta - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.19%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Georgia Tormenta
USL League One
21.06.25	One Knoxville - South Georgia Tormenta	3:0 ✺
14.06.25	Texoma - South Georgia Tormenta	2:2 ✺
07.06.25	South Georgia Tormenta - Charlotte Independence	0:2 ✺
USL Cup
31.05.25	Tampa Bay Rowdies - South Georgia Tormenta	2:1 ✺
USL League One
24.05.25	South Georgia Tormenta - Chattanooga Red Wolves	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL
- FC Naples
USL League One
14.06.25	Naples - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:2 ✺
07.06.25	Greenville Triumph - Naples	1:1 ✺
USL Cup
31.05.25	Miami - Naples	3:2 ✺
USL League One
25.05.25	Naples - Union Omaha	3:1 ✺
17.05.25	Portland Hearts of Pine - Naples	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTLWL

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