Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Patriots Point Soccer Complex (Mount Pleasant, SC)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Charleston Battery		Phoenix Rising

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.44	4.1	5.5
	1.35	5.15	8.73
				Watch
	1.5	4	5.5
	1.37	5.33	6.66	Watch
	1.6	3.95	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.74)	4.51 ↑ (3.82)	6.25 ↑ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charleston Battery
64.3%

Draw
20.7%

Phoenix Rising
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

24.2%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

25.2%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charleston Battery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Charleston Battery's performance.

Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Phoenix Rising might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleston Battery than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Charleston Battery that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Phoenix Rising could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Charleston Battery - Phoenix Rising Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Charleston Battery will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Charleston Battery (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - draw (6.28) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
56. Zamudio L. (G) 7. Blackstock L. 16. Smith G. 22. Akpunonu J. 62. Dossantos N. 80. Torres J. 91. Houssou N. 4. Allan C. 10. Rodriguez A. 8. Ycaza E. (C) 9. Myers M.	1. Rakovsky P. (G) 2. Smith C. 51. Essengue A. 34. Montgomery B. 23. Flood R. 8. Okello N. 17. Scearce J. 10. Avayevu H. 9. Sacko I. 29. Formella D. 22. Johnson D.
Substitutes
5. Archer L. 36. Conway J. 1. Garner C. (G) 26. Jennings C. 19. Klein J. 6. Molloy A. 11. Ortiz V. 12. Rodriguez D. 2. Segbers M.	14. Cuello E. 12. Dennis C. 25. Emmers X. 13. Henry T. (G) 38. Kowall C. 44. Ping J. 88. Rizzo P.
Coaches
Pirmann B.	Kah P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Myers M. ⚽, Torres J. (A),
16', Okello N. 🟨,
36', 1 - 1, Avayevu H. ⚽, Smith C. (A),
44', 2 - 1, Rodriguez A. ⚽, Torres J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Smith G. ↓, Archer L. ↑,
58', Flood R. ↓, Cuello E. ↑,
59', Formella D. ↓, Dennis C. ↑,
59', Ycaza E. ↓, Jennings C. ↑,
60', Okello N. ↓, Emmers X. ↑,
78', 3 - 1, Rodriguez A. ⚽, Myers M. (A),
82', Dossantos N. ↓, Segbers M. ↑,
87', Montgomery B. ↓, Kowall C. ↑,
89', 4 - 1, Houssou N. ⚽,
89', Torres J. ↓, Klein J. ↑,
89', Myers M. ↓, Conway J. ↑,
90+4', Conway J. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

In recent matches, Charleston Battery has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Phoenix Rising is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Phoenix Rising may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Charleston Battery has had a series of away games.

In this match, Charleston Battery is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Charleston Battery won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Charleston Battery won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charleston Battery
USL Championship
18.06.25	Miami - Charleston Battery	1:0 ✺
14.06.25	Hartford Athletic - Charleston Battery	1:2 ✺
07.06.25	Loudoun United - Charleston Battery	1:1 ✺
USL Cup
31.05.25	Charleston Battery - Greenville Triumph	0:1 ✺
USL Championship
24.05.25	Detroit City - Charleston Battery	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWTLW
- Phoenix Rising
USL Championship
14.06.25	Tulsa - Phoenix Rising	1:1 ✺
07.06.25	Phoenix Rising - Orange County SC	3:1 ✺
USL Cup
31.05.25	Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United	4:3 penalties ✺
USL Championship
28.05.25	Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising	0:1 ✺
17.05.25	Phoenix Rising - Monterey Bay	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
22.06.24	Phoenix Rising - Charleston Battery	0:0
12.11.23	Charleston Battery - Phoenix Rising	1:2 penalties
11.03.23	Charleston Battery - Phoenix Rising	1:1

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