Match Info

USL League One

Date: 27 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Breese Stevens Field (Madison, WI)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Forward Madison		Texoma

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	3.75	4.65
	1.59	3.78	5.55
	1.67	4.05	4.33	Watch
	1.61	3.7	4.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.74)	3.82 ↑ (3.56)	4.84 ↑ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forward Madison
57%

Draw
24%

Texoma
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

25.5%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

24.7%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forward Madison has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Texoma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Texoma than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Forward Madison - Texoma Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Forward Madison will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Texoma will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Forward Madison: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Forward Madison (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schipmann B. (G) 5. Mehl T. 14. Ramos J. 16. Crull J. 11. Garcia C. 80. Angking I. 10. Mesias A. 6. Murphy J. 3. Viader D. 70. Lucca Dourado 17. Gebhard D.	13. Garcia J. (G) 22. Perkins W. 12. Chavez J. (C) 2. Valentine R. 24. Jordan J. 3. Ramos O. 23. Baker T. 10. Spengler P. 8. McCormick L. 30. Jawneh L. 7. McManus B.
Substitutes
24. Bartman N. 8. Boyce D. 77. Brown N. 36. Lapsley W. (G) 9. McLaughlin G. 25. Sousa F. 13. Temitayo E.	5. Calfo A. 6. Gray L. 25. Iamarino D. 16. Mason D. 1. McCready M. 35. Padilla B. 9. Pepi D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Lucca Dourado ⚽, Viader D. (A),
23', Viader D. 🟨,
27', Chavez J. 🟨,
28', 2 - 0, Lucca Dourado ⚽, Angking I. (A),
42', Mehl T. 🟨,
43', McCormick L. 🟨,
44', Garcia C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', McManus B. 🟥,
62', Jawneh L. ↓, Pepi D. ↑,
62', Jordan J. ↓, Mason D. ↑,
63', Garcia C. ↓, Brown N. ↑,
63', Lucca Dourado ↓, McLaughlin G. ↑,
64', Angking I. ↓, Boyce D. ↑,
72', Valentine R. ↓, Calfo A. ↑,
82', Mesias A. ↓, Bartman N. ↑,
82', Ramos O. ↓, Padilla B. ↑,
83', 3 - 0, Brown N. ⚽, Bartman N. (A),
90+5', 🟨,
90+5', McCormick L. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )).

Forward Madison is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Texoma has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Forward Madison may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Forward Madison has had a series of home games.

In this match, Forward Madison is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Forward Madison won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forward Madison
USL League One
21.08.25	Forward Madison - Spokane Velocity	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Forward Madison - Naples	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Forward Madison - One Knoxville	2:2 ✺
06.08.25	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Forward Madison	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Forward Madison - AV Alta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTTLT
- Texoma FC
USL League One
23.08.25	Greenville Triumph - Texoma	0:1 ✺
20.08.25	Texoma - AV Alta	3:3 ✺
16.08.25	Texoma - Chattanooga Red Wolves	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Naples - Texoma	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Charlotte Independence - Texoma	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
05.07.25	Texoma - Forward Madison	2:0
19.04.25	Forward Madison - Texoma	1:1

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