Match Info

USL League One

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Paradise Coast Sports Complex (Naples, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Naples		Chattanooga Red Wolves

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.2	2.7
	2.29	3.45	2.82
	2.29	3.55	2.84	Watch
	2.2	3.35	2.7
	2.21	3.34	2.8	Watch
	2.25	3.25	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.38)	3.36 ↑ (3.3)	2.76 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Naples
40.3%

Draw
27%

Chattanooga Red Wolves
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

27.2%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

27.6%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naples has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Chattanooga Red Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naples than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chattanooga Red Wolves than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Naples - Chattanooga Red Wolves Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Delgado L. (C) 3. Cisneros J. 4. Uderitz H. 24. Collins T. 20. Yearwood J. 6. Ciss O. 30. Cerro I. 8. Osorio J. 21. Torrellas M. 14. O'Connor K. 9. Miglietti G.	1. Smith J. (G) 2. Adewole T. 22. Kinzner E. 30. Lombardi A. 33. Ayimbila J. 35. Kelly-Rosales A. 4. Vaughan J. 7. Hernandez O. 6. Wessels W. 15. Clapier D. 14. Hernandez P. (C)
Substitutes
19. Arevalo W. 16. Bulai-Tudor A. 10. Ferrin A. 11. Garcia C. 99. Grant J. (G) 45. Likulia N. 5. Mastrantonio L. 23. Mesias A. 31. Rose T.	10. Bentley M. 47. Binns R. 52. Hallenberger J. 12. Jerez R. (G) 20. Mensah R. 9. Mercer G. 17. Tapia O.
Coaches
Gordon Z.	MacKenzie S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Yearwood J. 🟨,
41', Kelly-Rosales A. 🟨,
41', Adewole T. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Miglietti G. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Wessels W. ↓, Tapia O. ↑,
57', Cerro I. ↓, Ferrin A. ↑,
59', Cisneros J. 🟨,
68', Lombardi A. 🟨,
71', O'Connor K. ↓, Likulia N. ↑,
71', Collins T. ↓, Garcia C. ↑,
72', Uderitz H. 🟨,
73', Clapier D. ↓, Bentley M. ↑,
73', Hernandez P. ↓, Mensah R. ↑,
81', Mensah R. 🟨,
83', Osorio J. 🟨,
89', Osorio J. ↓, Rose T. ↑,
89', Lombardi A. ↓, Mercer G. ↑,
90+7', Delgado L. 🟨,
90+9', Vaughan J. 🟨,

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 14th and 6th in the Promotion ~ USL League One PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).

Naples has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Chattanooga is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Chattanooga may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Naples has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:7 (averaging 1:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Naples against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:3 goals (averaging 1.5:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	30	14	4	12	50:43	7	46
9	FC Naples	29	11	4	14	34:44	-10	37

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Naples
USL League One
19.09.26	Fort Wayne - Naples	2:2 ✺
11.09.26	One Knoxville - Naples	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Naples - Boise	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Greenville Triumph - Naples	4:0 ✺
26.08.26	Naples - Union Omaha	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TTLLW
- Chattanooga Red Wolves
USL League One
19.09.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Portland Hearts of Pine	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Forward Madison	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Richmond Kickers - Chattanooga Red Wolves	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Greenville Triumph	3:1 ✺
02.09.26	Westchester SC - Chattanooga Red Wolves	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
20.06.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Naples	1:0
14.06.25	Naples - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:2
14.05.25	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Naples	3:1
08.03.25	Naples - Chattanooga Red Wolves	1:1

Upcoming Matches