Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 2

Date: 24 August 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)


	Southampton		Nottingham Forest

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	3.1
	2.3	3.4	3.1
	2.32	3.55	3.15
	2.31	3.53	3.21
	2.29	3.51	3.24	Watch
	2.38	3.4	3
	2.33	3.54	3.19	Watch
	2.32	3.55	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.37)	3.5 ↓ (3.7)	3.14 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Southampton
41.7%

Draw
27.6%

Nottingham Forest
30.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.2%

25.8%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

25.7%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40.6%	34.4%	25%

Southampton - Nottingham Forest Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. S`hampton will win (votes: 13 - 41.9%). Nottingham will win (votes: 7 - 22.6%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 35.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for S`hampton: 24.5% – 59.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McCarthy A. (G) 6. Harwood-Bellis T. 35. Bednarek J. 5. Stephens J. (C) 16. Sugawara Y. 8. Smallbone W. 4. Downes F. 7. Aribo J. 2. Walker-Peters K. 9. Armstrong A. 17. Brereton Diaz B.	26. Sels M. (G) 7. Williams N. 31. Milenkovic N. 5. Murillo 34. Aina O. 6. Sangare I. 8. Anderson E. 21. Elanga A. 10. Gibbs-White M. (C) 14. Hudson-Odoi C. 11. Wood Ch.
Substitutes
27. Amo-Ameyaw S. 19. Archer C. 14. Bree J. 33. Dibling T. 23. Edozie S. 28. Fernandes M. 13. Lumley J. (G) 21. Taylor C. 26. Ugochukwu L.	9. Awoniyi T. 30. Boly W. 33. Carlos Miguel (G) 17. da Silva Moreira E. 16. Dominguez N. 20. Jota Silva 12. Omobamidele A. 15. Toffolo H. 22. Yates R.
Coaches
Martin R.	Espirito Santo N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Armstrong A. 🟨,
29', Downes F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Sangare I. 🟨,
61', Wood Ch. 🟨,
66', Sangare I. ↓, Yates R. ↑,
70', 0 - 1, Gibbs-White M. ⚽,
72', Armstrong A. ↓, Edozie S. ↑,
72', Sugawara Y. ↓, Archer C. ↑,
75', Anderson E. ↓, Dominguez N. ↑,
76', Wood Ch. ↓, Awoniyi T. ↑,
76', Aribo J. ↓, Fernandes M. ↑,
76', Stephens J. ↓, Taylor C. ↑,
82', Bednarek J. 🟨,
84', Smallbone W. ↓, Dibling T. ↑,
88', Dominguez N. 🟨,
90+2', Hudson-Odoi C. ↓, Boly W. ↑,
90+2', Gibbs-White M. ↓, Jota Silva ↑,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Nottingham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Nottingham have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches S`hampton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams S`hampton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southampton FC
English Premier League
17.08.24	Newcastle United - Southampton	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Southampton - Getafe	0:0 ✺
07.08.24	Southampton - Lazio	1:1 ✺
03.08.24	Millwall - Southampton	0:1 ✺
31.07.24	Oxford United - Southampton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTTWL
- Nottingham Forest
English Premier League
17.08.24	Nottingham Forest - Bournemouth	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.08.24	Olympiacos Piraeus - Nottingham Forest	3:4 ✺
02.08.24	Nottingham Forest - Villarreal	0:0 ✺
26.07.24	Nottingham Forest - Elche	0:1 ✺
23.07.24	Nottingham Forest - Millwall	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
08.05.23	Nottingham Forest - Southampton	4:3
04.01.23	Southampton - Nottingham Forest	0:1

Upcoming Matches