Match Info

Championship - Round 14

Date: 5 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Loftus Road (London)

Referee: Bell J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Go, Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Queens Park Rangers		Southampton

	1	X	2
	2.57	3.4	2.55	Watch
	2.62	3.46	2.62	Watch
	2.67	3.54	2.65
	2.82	3.63	2.34	Watch
	2.68	3.32	2.51	Watch
	2.85	3.55	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (2.82)	3.48 ↓ (3.63)	2.51 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Queens Park Rangers
35%

Draw
27.2%

Southampton
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

26.1%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

27.2%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Queens Park Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	23.1%	38.5%

Queens Park Rangers - Southampton Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. QPR will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). S`hampton will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for S`hampton: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - QPR (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - S`hampton (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. QPR (votes: 1 - 33.3%). S`hampton (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nardi P. (G) 3. Dunne J. (C) 4. Morrison L. 27. Mbengue A. S. 18. Norrington-Davies R. 24. Madsen N. 40. Varane J. 11. Smyth P. 10. Chair I. 14. Saito K. 16. Burrell R.	31. Bazunu G. (G) 5. Stephens J. (C) 15. Wood N. 6. Harwood-Bellis T. 18. Fellows T. 4. Downes F. 20. Jander C. 3. Manning R. 46. Robinson J. 9. Armstrong A. 13. Scienza L.
Substitutes
23. Bennie D. 5. Cook S. 7. Dembele K. 8. Field S. 29. Hamer B. (G) 15. Hayden I. 22. Kone R. 21. Morgan K. 20. Vale H.	7. Aribo J. 10. Azaz F. 48. Bragg C. 42. Downs D. 12. Edwards R. 27. Matsuki K. 1. McCarthy A. (G) 17. Quarshie J. 2. Roerslev Rasmussen M.
Coaches
Stephan J.	Still W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Madsen N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 0 - 1, Robinson J. ⚽, Armstrong A. (A),
63', Smyth P. ↓, Dembele K. ↑,
66', Robinson J. ↓, Azaz F. ↑,
66', Armstrong A. ↓, Downs D. ↑,
69', 0 - 2, Scienza L. ⚽, Azaz F. (A),
70', Saito K. ↓, Kone R. ↑,
72', Fellows T. ↓, Roerslev Rasmussen M. ↑,
72', Scienza L. ↓, Aribo J. ↑,
73', 1 - 2, Burrell R. ⚽, Varane J. (A),
79', Jander C. 🟨,
81', Downes F. 🟨,
83', Wood N. 🟨,
86', Morrison L. ↓, Field S. ↑,
86', Varane J. ↓, Morgan K. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 15 and 21).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, QPR won 1.

Recent performances by QPR have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

S`hampton has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

QPR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in QPR: Larkeche Z. (Knee Injury) Walsh J. (Wrist Injury)

There will not play in S`hampton: Charles S. (Injury) Edozie S. (Injury) Jelert E. (Injury) Stewart R. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in QPR: Clarke-Salter J. (Hip Injury)

There are questionable in S`hampton: Archer C. (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, QPR won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, QPR won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Queens Park Rangers - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 33.53%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Queens Park Rangers
English League Championship
01.11.25	Queens Park Rangers - Ipswich Town	1:4 ✺
25.10.25	Derby County - Queens Park Rangers	1:0 ✺
22.10.25	Swansea City - Queens Park Rangers	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Queens Park Rangers - Millwall	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Bristol City - Queens Park Rangers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LLWLW
- Southampton FC
English League Championship
01.11.25	Southampton - Preston North End	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Blackburn Rovers - Southampton	2:1 ✺
21.10.25	Bristol City - Southampton	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	Southampton - Swansea City	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Derby County - Southampton	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
23.12.23	Queens Park Rangers - Southampton	0:1
26.08.23	Southampton - Queens Park Rangers	2:1
English Premier League
07.02.15	Queens Park Rangers - Southampton	0:1
27.09.14	Southampton - Queens Park Rangers	2:1
02.03.13	Southampton - Queens Park Rangers	1:2
17.11.12	Queens Park Rangers - Southampton	1:3

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