Match Info

Championship - Round 12

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Ewood Park (Blackburn)

Referee: Madley R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Blackburn Rovers		Southampton

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.2	2.32	Watch
	3.07	3.27	2.38	Watch
	3.09	3.38	2.38
	2.83	3.28	2.50	Watch
	3.1	3.31	2.46	Watch
	2.78	3.25	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.81)	3.28 ↑ (3.28)	2.42 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blackburn Rovers
31.9%

Draw
28.9%

Southampton
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

28.8%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

28.7%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blackburn Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	16.7%	61.1%

Blackburn Rovers - Southampton Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Blackburn will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). S`hampton will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for S`hampton: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. S`hampton (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - S`hampton (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. S`hampton (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Toth B. (G) 12. Miller L. 16. Wharton S. (C) 15. McLoughlin S. 2. Alebiosu R. 6. Tronstad S. 5. Gardner-Hickman T. 14. De Neve D. 25. Morishita R. 11. Gudjohnsen A. 23. Ohashi Y.	1. McCarthy A. (G) 12. Edwards R. 15. Wood N. 17. Quarshie J. 3. Manning R. 10. Azaz F. 2. Roerslev Rasmussen M. 24. Charles S. 13. Scienza L. 9. Armstrong A. (C) 19. Archer C.
Substitutes
28. Forshaw A. 9. Gueye M. 19. Hedges R. 18. Henriksson A. 31. Montgomery K. 1. Pears A. (G) 3. Pickering H. 4. Ribeiro Y. 8. Tavares S.	31. Bazunu G. (G) 48. Bragg C. 42. Downs D. 26. Fraser R. 6. Harwood-Bellis T. 49. Oyekunle N. 46. Robinson J. 5. Stephens J. 34. Welington
Coaches
Ismael V.	Still W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Quarshie J. 🟨,
20', Gardner-Hickman T. 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Scienza L. ⚽,
34', Wharton S. 🟨,
45+3', Tronstad S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Archer C. ↓, Fraser R. ↑,
67', De Neve D. ↓, Hedges R. ↑,
67', Tronstad S. ↓, Montgomery K. ↑,
67', Morishita R. ↓, Henriksson A. ↑,
68', Scienza L. ↓, Stephens J. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Alebiosu R. ⚽, Miller L. (A),
81', Charles S. ↓, Bragg C. ↑,
81', Manning R. ↓, Welington ↑,
81', Edwards R. ↓, Robinson J. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Gudjohnsen A. ⚽,
90+4', Welington 🟥,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 18).

Blackburn has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

S`hampton has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Blackburn: Baradji M. (Foot Injury) Cantwell T. (Knee Injury) Carter H. (Hamstring Injury) Garrett J. (Surgery)

There will not play in S`hampton: Stewart R. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in S`hampton: Jelert E. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Blackburn won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Including home match between the teams, Blackburn won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Blackburn Rovers - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 33.54%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blackburn Rovers
English League Championship
21.10.25	Blackburn Rovers - Sheffield United	1:3 ✺
18.10.25	Coventry City - Blackburn Rovers	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Blackburn Rovers - Stoke City	1:1 ✺
30.09.25	Blackburn Rovers - Swansea City	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Charlton Athletic - Blackburn Rovers	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL
- Southampton FC
English League Championship
21.10.25	Bristol City - Southampton	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	Southampton - Swansea City	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Derby County - Southampton	1:1 ✺
30.09.25	Sheffield United - Southampton	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Southampton - Middlesbrough	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
06.04.24	Blackburn Rovers - Southampton	0:0
16.12.23	Southampton - Blackburn Rovers	4:0

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