Match Info

Championship - Round 12

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ewood Park (Blackburn) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Madley R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SupeSport ESPN 1
Argentina	11:00	Disney+, FOX Sports
Asia	—	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
Australia	01:00	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Brazil	11:00	Disney+
Canada	10:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	11:00	Disney+
Colombia	09:00	Disney+
Croatia	16:00	Arena Sport 8, Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	16:00	Viaplay
Finland	17:00	Viaplay
France	16:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
Germany	16:00	WOW
Greece	17:00	COSMOTE Sport 1
Iceland	14:00	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	19:30	FanCode, FanCode
Israel	17:00	Sport 2
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Kenya	17:00	Gotv
Malaysia	22:00	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	08:00	Disney+
Netherlands	16:00	Viaplay
Nigeria	15:00	SupeSport ESPN 1
North Macedonia	16:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	16:00	Viaplay
Peru	09:00	Disney+
Portugal	15:00	Sport TV6
Serbia	16:00	Arena Sport 4
South Africa	16:00	SupeSport ESPN
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay
Turkey	17:00	Exxen
Uruguay	11:00	Disney+
Usa	10:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	10:00	Disney+


	Blackburn Rovers		Southampton

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.2	2.32	Watch
	3.07	3.27	2.38	Watch
	3.09	3.38	2.38
	2.83	3.28	2.50	Watch
	3.1	3.31	2.46	Watch
	2.78	3.25	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.81)	3.28 ↑ (3.28)	2.42 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blackburn Rovers
31.9%

Draw
28.9%

Southampton
39.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.5%

28.8%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

28.7%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blackburn Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	16.7%	61.1%

Blackburn Rovers - Southampton Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Blackburn will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). S`hampton will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for S`hampton: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. S`hampton (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - S`hampton (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. S`hampton (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Toth B. (G) 12. Miller L. 16. Wharton S. (C) 15. McLoughlin S. 2. Alebiosu R. 6. Tronstad S. 5. Gardner-Hickman T. 14. De Neve D. 25. Morishita R. 11. Gudjohnsen A. 23. Ohashi Y.	1. McCarthy A. (G) 12. Edwards R. 15. Wood N. 17. Quarshie J. 3. Manning R. 10. Azaz F. 2. Roerslev Rasmussen M. 24. Charles S. 13. Scienza L. 9. Armstrong A. (C) 19. Archer C.
Substitutes
28. Forshaw A. 9. Gueye M. 19. Hedges R. 18. Henriksson A. 31. Montgomery K. 1. Pears A. (G) 3. Pickering H. 4. Ribeiro Y. 8. Tavares S.	31. Bazunu G. (G) 48. Bragg C. 42. Downs D. 26. Fraser R. 6. Harwood-Bellis T. 49. Oyekunle N. 46. Robinson J. 5. Stephens J. 34. Welington
Coaches
Ismael V.	Still W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Quarshie J. 🟨,
20', Gardner-Hickman T. 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Scienza L. ⚽,
34', Wharton S. 🟨,
45+3', Tronstad S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Archer C. ↓, Fraser R. ↑,
67', De Neve D. ↓, Hedges R. ↑,
67', Tronstad S. ↓, Montgomery K. ↑,
67', Morishita R. ↓, Henriksson A. ↑,
68', Scienza L. ↓, Stephens J. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Alebiosu R. ⚽, Miller L. (A),
81', Charles S. ↓, Bragg C. ↑,
81', Manning R. ↓, Welington ↑,
81', Edwards R. ↓, Robinson J. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Gudjohnsen A. ⚽,
90+4', Welington 🟥,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 18).

Blackburn has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

S`hampton has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Blackburn: Baradji M. (Foot Injury) Cantwell T. (Knee Injury) Carter H. (Hamstring Injury) Garrett J. (Surgery)

There will not play in S`hampton: Stewart R. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in S`hampton: Jelert E. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Blackburn won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Including home match between the teams, Blackburn won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Blackburn Rovers - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 33.54%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blackburn Rovers
English League Championship
21.10.25	Blackburn Rovers - Sheffield United	1:3 ✺
18.10.25	Coventry City - Blackburn Rovers	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Blackburn Rovers - Stoke City	1:1 ✺
30.09.25	Blackburn Rovers - Swansea City	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Charlton Athletic - Blackburn Rovers	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL
- Southampton FC
English League Championship
21.10.25	Bristol City - Southampton	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	Southampton - Swansea City	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Derby County - Southampton	1:1 ✺
30.09.25	Sheffield United - Southampton	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Southampton - Middlesbrough	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
06.04.24	Blackburn Rovers - Southampton	0:0
16.12.23	Southampton - Blackburn Rovers	4:0

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