Match Info

National League - Round 25

Date: 30 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Roots Hall (Southend on Sea)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Spain	DAZN Espana
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Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
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Vietnam	DAZN


	Southend United		Sutton United

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.33	7
	1.42	4.4	5.5
	1.47	4.45	5.7
	1.44	4.69	6.23	Watch
	1.4	4.4	6
	1.42	4.25	6.27
	1.41	4.75	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.47)	4.47 ↑ (4.3)	6.17 ↑ (6.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southend United
64.6%

Draw
20.5%

Sutton United
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

21.6%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

20.4%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southend United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Southend United - Sutton United Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Southend will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Sutton will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Andeng Ndi C. (G) 16. Taylor H. 15. Gubbins J. 3. Ralph N. (C) 17. Miley C. 2. Scott-Morriss G. 28. Coker O. 19. Chambers-Parillon L. 33. Boyes H. 21. Cardwell H. 24. Kendall C.	1. Sims J. (G) 26. Eccleston J. 42. Muller H. 15. Tizzard W. 16. Taylor J. 8. Simper L. 28. Jennings K. 25. Taylor J. (C) 18. Ogbonna D. 23. Harris J. J. 34. Njoku B.
Substitutes
22. Appiah-Forson K. 10. Austin S. 7. Bridge J. 1. Hayes N. (G) 14. Hopper T. 23. Morton 18. Spasov S.	21. Aziaya D. (G) 37. Bell C. 17. Jones A. 44. Mrisho O. 9. Rodari D. 36. Urpens D. 12. Vaz E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Scott-Morriss G. ⚽, Cardwell H. (A),
17', Cardwell H. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Kendall C. ↓, Spasov S. ↑,
60', Taylor J. ↓, Rodari D. ↑,
63', Boyes H. 🟨,
67', Boyes H. ↓, Bridge J. ↑,
67', Coker O. ↓, Austin S. ↑,
68', Tizzard W. ↓, Mrisho O. ↑,
74', Chambers-Parillon L. ↓, Appiah-Forson K. ↑,
74', Cardwell H. ↓, Hopper T. ↑,
76', Harris J. J. 🟨,
79', Harris J. J. ↓, Bell C. ↑,
80', Scott-Morriss G. 🟨,
81', Muller H. 🟨,
84', Simper L. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 18).

Southend has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sutton is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Southend has had a series of away games.

In this match, Southend is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Southend won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Southend won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southend United
English National League
26.12.25	Braintree Town - Southend United	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Tamworth - Southend United	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Southend United - Truro City	4:0 ✺
English National League
29.11.25	Forest Green Rovers - Southend United	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Southend United - Altrincham	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWLW
- Sutton United
English National League
26.12.25	Sutton United - Aldershot Town	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Solihull Moors - Sutton United	4:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Walton & Hersham - Sutton United	4:1 ✺
English FA Cup
06.12.25	Sutton United - Shrewsbury Town	1:2 ET ✺
English National League
29.11.25	Sutton United - Gateshead	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
05.04.25	Sutton United - Southend United	1:1
14.09.24	Southend United - Sutton United	1:3

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