Match Info

FA Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: VBS Community Stadium (London)

Referee: Miles J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Sutton United		Shrewsbury Town

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.4	2.3
	2.78	3.45	2.32
	2.84	3.57	2.4
	2.75	3.62	2.33	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.3
	2.82	3.43	2.37	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (2.8)	3.47 ↑ (3.38)	2.34 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
33.3%

Draw
26.8%

Shrewsbury Town
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

27.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

26.3%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Shrewsbury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Sutton United - Shrewsbury Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sims J. (G) 26. Eccleston J. 42. Muller H. 14. Pruti E. (C) 16. Taylor J. 28. Jennings K. 25. Taylor J. 8. Simper L. 23. Harris J. J. 18. Ogbonna D. 10. Nadesan A.	12. Brook W. (G) 4. Anderson T. 26. Stubbs S. 5. Boyle W. (C) 2. Hoole L. 25. Ruffels J. 38. England I. 6. Clucas S. 11. Scully A. 20. Kabia I. 9. Lloyd G.
Substitutes
21. Aziaya D. (G) 37. Bell C. 19. Crichlow K. 22. Dabre M. 17. Jones A. 15. Tizzard W. 12. Vaz E. 45. Vorster G.	15. Aneke Ch. 3. Benning M. 8. Biggins H. 43. Gray W. 1. Harrison E. (G) 27. Marquis J. 7. McDermott T. 14. Perry T. 10. Sang T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Stubbs S. 🟨,
9', Pruti E. 🟨,
12', Ogbonna D. 🟨,
31', Muller H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Ruffels J. 🟨,
62', England I. ↓, Perry T. ↑,
66', Nadesan A. ↓, Crichlow K. ↑,
69', 1 - 0, Jennings K. ⚽,
74', Taylor J. 🟨,
77', Muller H. ↓, Jones A. ↑,
77', Lloyd G. ↓, Aneke Ch. ↑,
77', Scully A. ↓, Marquis J. ↑,
79', Ruffels J. 🟨,
82', Stubbs S. ↓, Sang T. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Kabia I. ⚽, Perry T. (A),
90+3', Ogbonna D. 🟨,
90+6', Clucas S. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
91', Kabia I. ↓, McDermott T. ↑,
92', 1 - 2, Marquis J. ⚽,
100', Harris J. J. ↓, Bell C. ↑,
105', Taylor J. ↓, Vaz E. ↑,
111', Eccleston J. 🟥,
119', Aneke Ch. 🟨,
120+3', Simper L. 🟨,

Preview

Sutton has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Shrewsbury's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Shrewsbury may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English National League
29.11.25	Sutton United - Gateshead	4:2 ✺
English National League Cup
25.11.25	Sutton United - Southampton U21	4:1 ✺
English National League
22.11.25	Truro City - Sutton United	2:3 ✺
15.11.25	Sutton United - Halifax Town	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Morecambe - Sutton United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWWT
- Shrewsbury Town
English League Two
29.11.25	Shrewsbury Town - Gillingham	3:3 ✺
22.11.25	Fleetwood Town - Shrewsbury Town	3:1 ✺
15.11.25	Shrewsbury Town - Newport County	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
11.11.25	Northampton Town - Shrewsbury Town	2:1 ✺
English League Two
08.11.25	Crewe Alexandra - Shrewsbury Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLWLL

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