Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 15

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Southport		Banbury United

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.4	2.55
	2.25	3.2	2.7
	2.3	3.4	2.85
	2.17	3.3	2.79
	2.41	3.28	2.9
	2.1	3.3	3.1
	2.35	3.34	2.81
	2.2	3.3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.07)	3.32 ↓ (3.4)	2.83 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southport
40%

Draw
27.6%

Banbury United
32.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.1%

26.9%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

26%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Banbury United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southport than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Southport, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Banbury United than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Southport - Banbury United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 and 14).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Banbury could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Banbury have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Southport won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Southport won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southport
English National League North
24.10.23	Southport - Chester	0:2 ✺
21.10.23	Peterborough Sports - Southport	2:0 ✺
14.10.23	Southport - Gloucester City	2:1 ✺
07.10.23	Bishops Stortford - Southport	2:3 ✺
23.09.23	Southport - Tamworth	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLWWT
- Banbury United
English National League North
24.10.23	Boston United - Banbury United	1:2 ✺
14.10.23	Peterborough Sports - Banbury United	2:0 ✺
07.10.23	Banbury United - Blyth Spartans	0:0 ✺
23.09.23	Farsley - Banbury United	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
16.09.23	Nantwich Town - Banbury United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
04.04.23	Southport - Banbury United	1:2
03.09.22	Banbury United - Southport	3:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southport
English National League North
31.10.26	Southport - AFC Telford United	✺
- Banbury United
English Southern League Central Division
31.10.26	Bury Town - Banbury United	✺

Southport - Banbury United