Match Info

National League North - Round 5

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday


	Southport		Fylde

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.25	2.5
	2.55	3.3	2.35
	2.52	3.3	2.52
	2.67	3.57	2.44
	2.76	3.32	2.43	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.6
	2.55	3.32	2.52
	2.34	3.14	2.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.4)	3.3 ↑ (3.25)	2.51 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Southport
35.7%

Draw
27.7%

Fylde
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

28.2%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

29.4%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Fylde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southport than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fylde than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Southport - Fylde Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fylde (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Jolley C. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
49', 1 - 0, Gnahoua A. ⚽,
59', 1 - 1, Mayor D. ⚽,
82', 1 - 2, Ormerod D. (Pen),
90+4', 2 - 2, Collins B. ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 3, Ormerod D. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southport won 0.

Southport is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fylde is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Southport won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Southport won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Southport - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.16%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southport
English National League North
23.08.25	Worksop Town - Southport	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Southport - Macclesfield Town	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Southport - Bedford Town	3:1 ✺
09.08.25	Merthyr Town - Southport	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Southport - United of Manchester	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLT
- AFC Fylde
English National League North
23.08.25	Fylde - Kidderminster Harriers	2:1 ✺
19.08.25	Darlington - Fylde	1:3 ✺
16.08.25	Scarborough Athletic - Fylde	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Fylde - Oxford City	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Fylde - Morecambe	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
14.01.23	Southport - Fylde	1:2
29.08.22	Fylde - Southport	1:0
15.04.22	Southport - Fylde	0:0
30.08.21	Fylde - Southport	2:1
English FA Trophy
11.01.20	Fylde - Southport	4:1

Upcoming Matches