Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 22 February 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: epet ARENA (Prague) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	22:00	Ring
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport
Denmark	21:00	TV2 Sport
Finland	22:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1, V Sport
Netherlands	21:00	ESPN
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Poland	21:00	Viaplay
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV4
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
United Kingdom	20:00	TNT Sports


	Sparta Prague		Galatasaray

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.8	2.5
	2.55	3.7	2.5
	2.62	3.8	2.58
	2.62	3.8	2.52
	2.6	3.85	2.58
	2.5	3.7	2.45
	2.63	4.03	2.59
	2.55	3.8	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.25)	3.81 ↑ (3.4)	2.54 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sparta Prague
37.2%

Draw
25.1%

Galatasaray
37.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.5%

27.4%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

26.8%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sparta Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Galatasaray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Galatasaray's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sparta Prague, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Galatasaray, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	24.2%	39.4%

Sparta Prague - Galatasaray Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Sparta Prague will win (votes: 12 - 36.4%). Galatasaray will win (votes: 13 - 39.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 24.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Galatasaray: 22.7% – 56.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vindahl P. (G) 41. Vitik M. 27. Panak F. (C) 25. Sorensen A. 2. Preciado A. 20. Laci Q. 6. Kairinen K. 28. Wiesner T. 7. Olatunji V. 9. Kuchta J. 22. Haraslin L.	1. Muslera F. (C) 23. Ayhan K. 42. Bardakci A. 6. Sanchez D. 18. Kutlu B. 8. Demirbay K. 34. Torreira L. 53. Yilmaz B. A. 10. Mertens D. 7. Akturkoglu K. 9. Icardi M.
Substitutes
10. Karabec A. 19. Mejdr J. 21. Pesek J. 18. Sadilek L. 29. Sevcik M. 49. Sevinsky A. 4. Solbakken M. 44. Surovcik J. (G) 11. Tuci I. 24. Vorel V. (G) 26. Vydra P. 30. Zeleny J.	81. Akman H. 72. Bulbul A. T. 95. Carlos Vinicius 56. Demiroglu B. 19. Guvenc G. (G) 27. Oliveira S. 20. Tete 58. Yesilyurt A. 50. Yilmaz J. (G) 14. Zaha W.
Coaches
Priske B.	Buruk O.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-3.

Sparta Prague is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Galatasaray in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recently Sparta Prague have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Sparta Prague: Birmancevic V. (Yellow Cards) Krejci L. (Yellow Cards) Pavelka D. (Injury) Rynes M. (Red Card) Sevcik M. (Health problems) Surovcik J. (Health problems) Vindheim A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Galatasaray: Aurier S. (Back Injury) Ndombele T. (Muscle Injury) Nelsson V. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Galatasaray: Ziyech H. (Muscle Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sparta Prague won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Sparta Prague
Czech 1 Liga
18.02.24	Sparta Prague - Slovan Liberec	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.02.24	Galatasaray - Sparta Prague	3:2 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
10.02.24	Karviná - Sparta Prague	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
01.02.24	Malmö - Sparta Prague	1:2 ✺
29.01.24	Bodø Glimt - Sparta Prague	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWWW
- Galatasaray
Turkish Super League
18.02.24	Ankaragücü - Galatasaray	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.02.24	Galatasaray - Sparta Prague	3:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
10.02.24	Galatasaray - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
06.02.24	Galatasaray - Bandırmaspor	4:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
02.02.24	Samsunspor - Galatasaray	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
15.02.24	Galatasaray - Sparta Prague	3:2

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