The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arsenal Tula 37.8%
Draw 30.4%
Rotor 31.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.9%
30.2%
36.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.3%
30.5%
36.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsenal Tula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
Rotor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rotor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotor than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
66.7%
33.3%
Arsenal Tula - Rotor Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Rotor will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Arsenal (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
42. Melikhov A. (G) 77. Plotnikov D. 35. Enin I. 4. Penchikov D. (C) 45. Karmaev N. 44. Isaenko O. 21. Razdorskikh N. 9. Davidyan D. 17. Gorbunov I. 19. Glushkov N. 11. Magomedov R.
13. Chagrov N. (C) 4. Yudintsev G. 17. Pokidyshev N. 15. Danilkin E. 16. Poyarkov N. 6. Umnikov M. 22. Tsaraev A. 5. Troshechkin A. 21. Gorelov P. 7. Khokhlachev A. 28. Khubulov A.
Substitutes
82. Alekhin A. 25. Biryukov A. 14. Brnovic M. 24. Gotsuk K. 5. Krashevskiy Y. 23. Melekestsev T. 7. Reyes E. 8. Shamkin D. 18. Tsulaya M. (G) 22. Uridia G. 75. Zhamaletdinov T. 10. Zhigulev I.
9. Aliev S. 8. Ayupov T. 11. Eldarushev A. 29. Khityaev A. 20. Litvenok I. (G) 12. Revazov A. 10. Simonyan A. 1. Sugrobov V. (G)
Coaches
Gunko D.
Parfenov D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Glushkov N. ⚽,
22', Poyarkov N. 🟨,
27', Plotnikov D. 🟨,
29', Khubulov A. (Penalty Awarded),
37', Khubulov A. 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 0, Magomedov R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Khokhlachev A. ↓, Eldarushev A. ↑,
46', Gorelov P. ↓, Ayupov T. ↑,
46', Tsaraev A. ↓, Simonyan A. ↑,
46', Khubulov A. ↓, Aliev S. ↑,
55', Magomedov R. 🟨,
64', Gorbunov I. ↓, Reyes E. ↑,
71', Plotnikov D. 🟨,
74', Magomedov R. ↓, Melekestsev T. ↑,
74', Glushkov N. ↓, Gotsuk K. ↑,
77', Melekestsev T. (Penalty Awarded),
78', Yudintsev G. ↓, Revazov A. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Umnikov M. ⚽,
89', Davidyan D. ↓, Krashevskiy Y. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 2.
Arsenal has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Rotor is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.5:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).
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Melikhov A. (G) 
Davidyan D. 
Brnovic M. 
Reyes E. 
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