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Current Win Probability
Spartak Kostroma 26.8%
Draw 30.2%
Ural 43%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35%
31.4%
33.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.6%
30.9%
33.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak Kostroma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spartak Kostroma's form might have worsened.
Ural has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ural's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Kostroma than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spartak Kostroma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ural than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ural, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Spartak Kostroma - Ural Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
68. Gaydash M. (G) 2. Tarasov N. (C) 69. Chursin K. 6. Mohammadi N. 21. Bugarin M. 22. Nemchenko A. 17. Kaptilovich D. 7. Malyarov K. 10. Karaev D. 87. Spahic A. 90. Kalmykov A.
57. Selikhov A. (G) 2. Begic S. 15. Tikhiy D. (C) 16. Italo 24. Korotkov A. 22. Leo Cordeiro 6. Sungatulin F. 13. Kaynov M. 17. Karapuzov V. 97. Ishkov I. 99. Fourrier B.
Substitutes
3. Bugriev S. 70. Chervyakov R. 8. Demchenko N. 11. Ghurtskaia D. 18. Kamilov V. 77. Meshcheryakov I. 96. Mokhammad A. 82. Nikiforenko O. 13. Rubtsov I. 50. Shamov E. (G)
11. Bokov D. 59. Kharin E. 40. Khrisanfov N. 86. Kuznetsov I. (G) 18. Morozov N. 35. Prishchepa D. 62. Satuchin P. 43. Shoronov R. 5. Stezhko V.
Coaches
Berezovsky R.
Yuran S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Begic S. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Kalmykov A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', Chursin K. ↓, Kamilov V. ↑,
68', Karaev D. ↓, Bugriev S. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Tikhiy D. ⚽,
73', Leo Cordeiro 🟨,
74', Malyarov K. 🟨,
76', Leo Cordeiro 🟨,
77', Karapuzov V. ↓, Kharin E. ↑,
80', Ishkov I. ↓, Stezhko V. ↑,
80', Fourrier B. ↓, Bokov D. ↑,
82', 🟨,
87', Nemchenko A. ↓, Mokhammad A. ↑,
87', Malyarov K. ↓, Rubtsov I. ↑,
90', Kaptilovich D. 🟨,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 2nd in the Promotion ~ Premier League and 5th).
Spartak Kostroma has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Ural has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Recently, Ural has had a run of games away from home.
Ural is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Spartak Kostroma has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:2 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Spartak Kostroma against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.
Belarus
Russia
Watch
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Gaydash M. (G) 
Mohammadi N. 
Bugarin M. 
Spahic A. 
Begic S. 
Italo 
Fourrier B. 
Demchenko N. 
Ghurtskaia D. 
Berezovsky R. 
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