The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Spartak Moscow 64%
Draw 21.6%
Arsenal Tula 14.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.1%
20.2%
14.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.8%
20.3%
14.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Arsenal Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Spartak Moscow - Arsenal Tula Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).
Spartak M has the most likely position - 8 (24.69%), has project points - 38, has currently - 27, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
Arsenal has the most likely position - 16 (35.3%), has project points - 28, has currently - 21, has a good chance of relegated (69%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
This event has quality38, importance39, match rating38. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Spartak M won 0.
Recent matches Spartak M is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Arsenal is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Spartak M is absolute favorite.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Spartak M won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Spartak M won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-5.
Watch
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