Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 3 August 2023, Thursday

Location: City Arena Trnava (Trnava)

Referee: Cibelli L. (Sui)


	Spartak Trnava		Auda Riga

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.5	10	Watch
	1.32	4.8	8
	1.27	5.3	11
	1.33	4.75	9
	1.3	4.89	11.33
	1.3	5.2	10.25	Watch
	1.34	5.4	9.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.56)	4.98 ↑ (4.2)	9.85 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Trnava
71.6%

Draw
18.9%

Auda Riga
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

22.4%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

21.8%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Trnava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spartak Trnava's performance.

Auda Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Auda Riga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Trnava than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spartak Trnava that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Auda Riga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Spartak Trnava - Auda Riga Predictions

Users Predictions: Spartak Trnava will win (21 of 24 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.27% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Takac D. (G) 24. Kostrna K. 2. Stetina L. 26. Kosa S. 29. Mikovic M. 6. Prochazka R. (C) 80. Zeljkovic A. 25. Bainovic F. 23. Daniel E. 7. Djuricin M. 97. Ofori K.	12. Ozols R. (G) 23. Korotkovs I. 6. Mikulic B. (C) 5. Minkevics I. 20. Attuquaye J. 27. Bretschneider N. 7. Achol M. 38. Clemente M. 11. Ogunniyi A. 17. Mane E. 10. Reginaldo Ramires
Substitutes
11. Azango P. 28. Bukata M. 5. Kompan Breznik M. 20. Oseni A. 14. Pena R. 19. Ristovski M. 31. Rusov D. (G) 8. Stefanik S. 13. Ujlaky M. 72. Vantruba M. (G)	16. Aleksandrovs N. (G) 4. Diawara B. 26. Isajevs V. 33. Novikovs J. 19. Piteo M. A. 8. Resende 71. Rubenis O. 14. Saveljevs A. 28. Ulimbasevs D.
Coaches
Gasparik M.	Valakari S.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Trnava has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Auda is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Trnava is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Trnava won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Trnava
Slovak Superliga
30.07.23	Spartak Trnava - Trenčín	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Auda Riga - Spartak Trnava	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.07.23	Spartak Trnava - Valencia	0:1 ✺
15.07.23	Spartak Trnava - Ipswich Town	1:2 ✺
08.07.23	Sturm Graz - Spartak Trnava	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL
- Auda Riga
Latvian Virsliga
30.07.23	Auda Riga - Liepāja	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Auda Riga - Spartak Trnava	1:1 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
23.07.23	Auda Riga - RFS	2:5 ✺
Latvian Cup
16.07.23	BFC Daugavpils - Auda Riga	1:4 ET ✺
Latvian Virsliga
08.07.23	Riga - Auda Riga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Auda Riga - Spartak Trnava	1:1

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