Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 July 2025, Thursday

Location: City Arena Trnava (Trnava)

Referee: Ilic P. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+
Slovakia	STVR Sport, Voyo


	Spartak Trnava		Paola Hibernians

	1	X	2
	1.17	6.5	12	Watch
	1.15	7.75	13.5	Watch
	1.15	7	15	Watch
	1.13	7.4	19.8
	1.02	17.52	30.00	Watch
	1.25	5.5	12
	1.17	7.65	17	Watch
	1.2	5.75	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.2)	8.13 ↑ (5.75)	16.29 ↑ (11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Trnava
82.4%

Draw
11.7%

Paola Hibernians
5.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.9%

15.8%

8.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Trnava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spartak Trnava's performance.

Paola Hibernians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.4%	26.3%	5.3%

Spartak Trnava - Paola Hibernians Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Trnava will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Hibernians will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Trnava: 47.5% – 89.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Trnava (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - no (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 - Trnava (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Trnava (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Frelih Z. (G) 2. Nwadike P. 24. Kostrna K. 33. Twardzik F. 4. Holik L. 6. Prochazka R. (C) 28. Moistsrapishvili G. 29. Mikovic M. 11. Azango P. 57. Duris M. 7. Skrbo S.	1. Branescu L. (G) 3. Charleston 23. Ellul M. 31. Pedrao 14. Xuereb D. 21. Alex Bruno 11. Kristensen B. (C) 8. Pedro Cacho 13. Pablo Alves 9. Miullen 7. Villela L.
Substitutes
88. Badolo C. 23. Daniel E. 18. Gong H. 3. Jureskin R. 21. Karhan P. 14. Kratochvil M. 19. Kudlicka T. 52. Sabo E. 27. Tomic M. 13. Ujlaky M. 72. Vantruba M. (G) 41. Vasil P. (G)	4. Alfred S. 20. Attard A. 22. Bonnici D. 24. Camilleri C. (G) 6. Caruana L. 17. Chukunyere I. 88. Cleiton 10. Degabriele J. 18. Lyon A. 30. Sacco H. (G) 16. Zammit A.
Coaches
Scasny M.	Nisevic B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Holik L. ⚽, Azango P. (A),
13', 2 - 0, Skrbo S. ⚽, Holik L. (A),
16', Kristensen B. (Pen),
21', Moistsrapishvili G. 🟨,
21', Pedro Cacho 🟨,
31', Duris M. (Pen),
37', 2 - 1, Miullen ⚽, Villela L. (A),
45', Charleston ↓, Zammit A. ↑,
45+5', Mikovic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Holik L. ↓, Tomic M. ↑,
46', Moistsrapishvili G. ↓, Kratochvil M. ↑,
47', 3 - 1, Tomic M. ⚽, Skrbo S. (A),
54', 4 - 1, Pedrao (Own goal), Mikovic M. (A),
57', 5 - 1, Azango P. ⚽,
62', Prochazka R. 🟨,
64', Pedro Cacho ↓, Caruana L. ↑,
64', Xuereb D. ↓, Degabriele J. ↑,
65', Skrbo S. ↓, Kudlicka T. ↑,
65', Azango P. ↓, Gong H. ↑,
72', Kristensen B. ↓, Attard A. ↑,
72', Pablo Alves ↓, Bonnici D. ↑,
85', Duris M. ↓, Daniel E. ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 2-1. 2nd leg.

Trnava has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hibernians may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Trnava is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trnava won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:3. (average 3.4:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Trnava won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:0. (average 4:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Trnava
Slovak Superliga
27.07.25	Spartak Trnava - Ružomberok	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Paola Hibernians - Spartak Trnava	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.07.25	Häcken - Spartak Trnava	2:2 ✺
10.07.25	Spartak Trnava - Häcken	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.07.25	Spartak Trnava - Petrolul Ploieşti	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWTLL
- Paola Hibernians
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Paola Hibernians - Spartak Trnava	1:2 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
18.05.25	Birkirkara - Paola Hibernians	1:2 ✺
14.05.25	Hamrun Spartans - Paola Hibernians	1:2 ✺
Maltese Premier League
01.05.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Paola Hibernians	2:2 ✺
27.04.25	Paola Hibernians - Balzan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Paola Hibernians - Spartak Trnava	1:2
UEFA Europa League
07.07.16	Paola Hibernians - Spartak Trnava	0:3
30.06.16	Spartak Trnava - Paola Hibernians	3:0
10.07.14	Spartak Trnava - Paola Hibernians	5:0
03.07.14	Paola Hibernians - Spartak Trnava	2:4

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